Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 30

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: WIRmachenDRUCK Arena (Aspach)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sonnenhof Großaspach		Freiberg

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.6	3.35
	1.89	3.85	3.57
	1.9	3.78	3.39
	1.91	3.3	3.4
	1.87	3.54	3.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.03)	3.61 ↑ (3.57)	3.45 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sonnenhof Großaspach
48.2%

Draw
25.3%

Freiberg
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

25.7%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

24.9%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sonnenhof Großaspach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Freiberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sonnenhof Großaspach than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiberg than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Sonnenhof Großaspach - Freiberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Eisele F. ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, Eisele F. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 3 - 0, Rahn J. E. ⚽,
80', 4 - 0, Maier L. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga and 2).

Großaspach is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Freiberg has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Großaspach could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Großaspach won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 4:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Freiberg	10	5	5	0	26:11	15	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sonnenhof Großaspach
German Regionalliga Sudwest
18.04.26	Bayern Alzenau - Sonnenhof Großaspach	1:4 ✺
10.04.26	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Schott Mainz	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Sandhausen - Sonnenhof Großaspach	1:3 ✺
28.03.26	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Homburg	1:2 ✺
20.03.26	Sonnenhof Großaspach - TSV Steinbach Haiger	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWLW
- SGV Freiberg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
18.04.26	Freiberg - TSV Steinbach Haiger	1:3 ✺
11.04.26	Homburg - Freiberg	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Freiberg - Stuttgarter Kickers	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Freiberg - Kickers Offenbach	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Bahlinger - Freiberg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
18.10.25	Freiberg - Sonnenhof Großaspach	1:1
Club Friendly
23.06.15	Freiberg - Sonnenhof Großaspach	0:7

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