Match Info

NPL Western Australia - Round 12

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Percy Doyle Reserve (Perth)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Streamer


	Sorrento		Bayswater City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.3	4.45	1.37	Watch
	6.7	4.98	1.4
	1.42	3.46	12.07	Watch
	6	4.5	1.36
	6.37	5.04	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.36 ↑ (3.8)	4.49 ↑ (4.1)	3.52 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sorrento
26.9%

Draw
32.1%

Bayswater City
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

22.7%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

22.2%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sorrento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Bayswater City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bayswater City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayswater City than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bayswater City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sorrento - Bayswater City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
75', 1 - 0, ⚽,
81', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Western Australia (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sorrento won 2.

In recent matches, Sorrento has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bayswater is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Bayswater is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sorrento won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 2.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sorrento won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 2.3:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sorrento FC Perth
Australian NPL Western Australia
23.05.26	Sorrento - Olympic Kingsway	1:4 ✺
16.05.26	Sorrento - Perth SC	1:2 ✺
08.05.26	Perth RedStar - Sorrento	4:1 ✺
25.04.26	Fremantle City - Sorrento	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Perth Glory U23 - Sorrento	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLLWW
- Bayswater City
Australian NPL Western Australia
23.05.26	Stirling Macedonia - Bayswater City	1:2 ✺
16.05.26	Perth Glory U23 - Bayswater City	1:0 ✺
08.05.26	Bayswater City - Olympic Kingsway	3:2 ✺
24.04.26	Bayswater City - Perth SC	3:2 ✺
18.04.26	Balcatta - Bayswater City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Western Australia
14.06.25	Sorrento - Bayswater City	2:4
14.03.25	Bayswater City - Sorrento	2:1
10.06.23	Sorrento - Bayswater City	5:2
17.03.23	Bayswater City - Sorrento	1:4
09.07.22	Bayswater City - Sorrento	4:2
16.04.22	Sorrento - Bayswater City	1:2
04.09.21	Bayswater City - Sorrento	0:4

Sorrento - Bayswater City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide