Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP G - ROUND 29

Date: 2 April 2023, Sunday


	Sorrento		Sarrabus Ogliastra

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.33	7
	1.46	4	5.5
	1.33	4.54	7.42
	1.33	4.85	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.65)	4.43 ↑ (3.54)	6.93 ↑ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sorrento
66.4%

Draw
20.5%

Sarrabus Ogliastra
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

25.2%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

31.2%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sorrento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sorrento's performance.

Sarrabus Ogliastra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarrabus Ogliastra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarrabus Ogliastra than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Sorrento - Sarrabus Ogliastra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 9).

Sorrento is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sarrabus Ogliastra is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Sorrento is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Sorrento to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sorrento won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sorrento FC
Italian Serie D - Group G
19.03.23	Vis Artena - Sorrento	0:1 ✺
12.03.23	Sorrento - Paganese	2:2 ✺
05.03.23	Arzachena - Sorrento	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Sorrento - Nola	2:0 ✺
19.02.23	Pomezia - Sorrento	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTTWW
- Sarrabus Ogliastra
Italian Serie D - Group G
19.03.23	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Ilvamaddalena	1:0 ✺
12.03.23	Nola - Sarrabus Ogliastra	1:1 ✺
05.03.23	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Palmese 1914	2:1 ✺
26.02.23	Aprilia - Sarrabus Ogliastra	1:2 ✺
19.02.23	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Angri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
20.11.22	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Sorrento	3:1

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