The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sorrento 35%
Draw 30.5%
Paganese 34.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35%
30.6%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.5%
31%
34.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Sorrento have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
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Preview
The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs) and 1 in the zone Promotion).
Sorrento is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Paganese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Sorrento won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Sorrento won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.