Match Info

ALGERIA: Ligue 1 - Round 23

Date: 19 April 2024, Friday


	Souf		ASO Chlef

	1	X	2
	10	5.75	1.21
	11	6	1.22
	11.86	6.27	1.22
	11.86	6.27	1.22
	12	6.5	1.17
	11.7	6.26	1.18
	10	5.6	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.2 ↑ (4.62)	6.09 ↑ (3.57)	1.21 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Souf
8.2%

Draw
15.2%

ASO Chlef
76.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

25.8%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

24%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Souf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Souf's form might have worsened.

ASO Chlef has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ASO Chlef's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Souf than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Souf, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ASO Chlef than the current prediction. (-26.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ASO Chlef, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15%	10%	75%

Souf - ASO Chlef Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Souf will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Chlef will win (votes: 15 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chlef: 56% – 94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	16. Alouachiche S. (G)
	12. Abada A.
	22. Achour F.
	18. Addadi T.
	7. Agbagno Y.
	10. Aguieb J.
	11. Aliane Y.
	21. Farhi Benhalima I.
	13. Hamra A.
	3. Nessakh C.
	5. Zenasni A.
Substitutes
	24. Arab M.
	20. Belarbi K.
	19. Benyahia D.
	15. Bounoua R.
	26. Debbari A.
	1. Kacem S. (G)
	23. Zerdoum R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Agbagno Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
76', 0 - 2, Bounoua R. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 13).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Chlef is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Souf won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Souf
Algerian Ligue 1
05.04.24	MC Alger - Souf	3:0 ✺
23.03.24	Souf - El Bayadh	4:5 ✺
15.03.24	Constantine - Souf	3:0 ✺
02.03.24	Souf - Ben Aknoun	Ben Aknoun awarded ✺
24.02.24	Oran - Souf	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLL?L
- ASO Chlef
Algerian Ligue 1
05.04.24	ASO Chlef - Saoura	1:2 ✺
24.03.24	ES Sétif - ASO Chlef	0:0 ✺
14.03.24	MC Alger - ASO Chlef	6:3 ✺
Algerian Cup
08.03.24	ASO Chlef - Biskra	2:3 penalties ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
02.03.24	ASO Chlef - El Bayadh	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
02.12.23	ASO Chlef - Souf	2:0

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