Match Info
Serie D - Round 5Date: 3 May 2026, SundayLocation: Estadio Antonio Mariz (Marizao) (Sousa)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Sousa |
|
Laguna |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.36 |
4 |
8 |
|
 |
1.32 |
4.45 |
7.9 |
|
 |
1.32 |
4.48 |
8.89 |
|
 |
1.35 |
4.22 |
8.94 |
|
 |
1.33 |
4 |
9 |
|
 |
1.37 |
4.57 |
8.43 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.34 ↓
(1.48) |
4.29 ↑
(3.6) |
8.53 ↑
(7.32) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sousa
68% | Draw
21.3% | Laguna
10.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sousa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sousa's performance.Laguna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (-27.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sousa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laguna than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Laguna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Sousa - Laguna Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', 1 - 0, Diego Viana ⚽,
- 90+7', 🟥,
- 90+7', 🟥,
Preview
Sousa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Laguna is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Sousa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Sousa is the undisputed favorite. In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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