Match Info

Copa do Nordeste - Round 5

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)


	CRB Maceio		Sousa

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.4
	2.05	3.05	3.35	Watch
	2.09	3.2	3.68
	2	3.21	3.65
	2.05	2.9	3.4
	1.98	2.91	3.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.08)	3.07 ↓ (3.15)	3.53 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CRB Maceio
44.5%

Draw
29.7%

Sousa
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

28.8%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

29%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

CRB Maceio - Sousa Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. CRB will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. CRB (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Matheus Albino (G) 10. Danielzinho 45. De Lucca 7. Douglas Baggio 27. Fabio Alemao 11. Guilherme Pato 32. Hereda 36. Lucas Lovat 28. Mikael 21. Pedro Castro 82. Wallace	1. Moises (G) 8. Diego Viana 10. Everton Heleno 7. Guimaraes 5. Hebert 13. Iranilson 11. Luis Henrique 4. Marcelo 23. Nascimento J. 9. Papa M. 20. Souza C.
Substitutes
22. Bressan 23. Fabio Henrique (G) 14. Guilherme Estrella 44. Henri 18. Kauan G. 2. Kevin 50. Luizao 19. Luiz Phellype 33. Lyncon 60. Maycon 20. Vinicius Barata 1. Vitor Caetano (G)	16. Felipe Jacare 6. Fernando Ceara 17. Gianlucas 12. Joao Vitor (G) 21. Mateuzinho 19. Matheus Bambu 18. Natalicio 3. Pedro Costa 25. Veraldo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Lucas Lovat ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 0, Hereda ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nascimento J. ↓, Felipe Jacare ↑,
46', Guimaraes ↓, Veraldo ↑,
46', Hebert ↓, Fernando Ceara ↑,
46', Fabio Alemao ↓, Henri ↑,
50', Moises 🟨,
50', 🟨,
57', 🟨,
57', Luis Henrique ↓, Mateuzinho ↑,
59', Matheus Albino 🟨,
61', Mikael ↓, Luiz Phellype ↑,
65', Douglas Baggio ↓, Vinicius Barata ↑,
67', Lucas Lovat ↓, Kevin ↑,
72', De Lucca ↓, Guilherme Estrella ↑,
73', 3 - 0, Guilherme Pato ⚽,
87', Hebert 🟨,
88', Danielzinho 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

CRB is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Sousa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

CRB may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sousa has had a series of home games.

In this match, CRB is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, CRB won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, CRB won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Last Results with these Odds

CRB Maceio - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 43.72%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
26.04.26	Criciúma - CRB Maceio	3:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.04.26	Fortaleza - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
18.04.26	CRB Maceio - Juventude	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
15.04.26	Fluminense Piaui - CRB Maceio	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
12.04.26	CRB Maceio - Athletic Club	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLTL
- Sousa
Brazilian Serie D
25.04.26	Sousa - ABC	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Central SC - Sousa	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
15.04.26	Sousa - Juazeirense	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
12.04.26	Sousa - Maguary	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.04.26	Sousa - Botafogo PB	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
12.03.26	Sousa - CRB Maceio	0:2
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
19.02.25	CRB Maceio - Sousa	4:1

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