Match Info
Serie D - Round 4Date: 25 April 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Antonio Mariz (Marizao) (Sousa)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Sousa |
|
ABC |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.78 |
2.98 |
2.42 |
|
 |
2.96 |
3.05 |
2.54 |
|
 |
2.92 |
2.87 |
2.52 |
|
 |
2.75 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
|
 |
2.9 |
3.06 |
2.51 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.86 ↓
(3) |
2.95 ↑
(2.62) |
2.48 ↓
(2.59) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sousa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ABC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for ABC than the current prediction. (-2.5%)Sousa - ABC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', 0 - 1, Joao Pedro ⚽,
Preview
Recent performances by Sousa have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).ABC is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).ABC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, ABC has had a series of away games. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sousa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).Including home match between the teams, Sousa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
