Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL South Australia - Round 12

Date: 24 May 2024, Friday


	South Adelaide Panthers		Adelaide City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.25	5	1.36
	6.5	5	1.35	Watch
	7.25	5.2	1.36
	7.25	5.2	1.36
	7	4.8	1.33
	6.81	5.05	1.33	Watch
	6.4	5	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.78 ↑ (3.82)	5.04 ↑ (4)	1.35 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Adelaide Panthers
13.6%

Draw
18.2%

Adelaide City
68.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

22.7%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

20.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Adelaide Panthers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that South Adelaide Panthers's form might have worsened.

Adelaide City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adelaide City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Adelaide Panthers than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for South Adelaide Panthers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide City than the current prediction. (-20.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adelaide City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

South Adelaide Panthers - Adelaide City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. South Adelaide will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Adelaide City will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Bressan D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 1 - 1, Rideout J. ⚽,
71', 1 - 2, Ferreira F. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 3, Martini I. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Adelaide Panthers
Australian NPL South Australian
17.05.24	Para Hills Knights - South Adelaide Panthers	3:0 ✺
10.05.24	South Adelaide Panthers - Adelaide Olympic	1:2 ✺
04.05.24	North Eastern MetroStars - South Adelaide Panthers	2:0 ✺
26.04.24	South Adelaide Panthers - Croydon	2:2 ✺
21.04.24	Adelaide United U23 - South Adelaide Panthers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLTL
- Adelaide City
Australian NPL South Australian
18.05.24	Adelaide Olympic - Adelaide City	1:6 ✺
10.05.24	Adelaide City - North Eastern MetroStars	2:2 ✺
04.05.24	Croydon - Adelaide City	1:0 ✺
26.04.24	Adelaide City - Adelaide United U23	2:3 ✺
19.04.24	Modbury Jets - Adelaide City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL South Australian
24.02.24	Adelaide City - South Adelaide Panthers	4:0
20.05.23	Adelaide City - South Adelaide Panthers	2:2
27.02.23	South Adelaide Panthers - Adelaide City	3:1
06.08.22	South Adelaide Panthers - Adelaide City	1:3
13.05.22	Adelaide City - South Adelaide Panthers	1:1
11.09.21	Adelaide City - South Adelaide Panthers	0:0
26.06.21	South Adelaide Panthers - Adelaide City	0:3

South Adelaide Panthers - Adelaide City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide