Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL South Australia - Round 18

Date: 13 July 2024, Saturday


	South Adelaide Panthers		Adelaide United U23

	1	X	2
	3.75	4.4	1.65
	3.75	4.5	1.63
	3.7	4.8	1.68
	3.81	4.82	1.68
	3.7	4.6	1.6
	3.76	4.45	1.65
	3.8	4.4	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (3.36)	4.57 ↑ (3.88)	1.65 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Adelaide Panthers
24.4%

Draw
20.1%

Adelaide United U23
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

23.5%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

21.2%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Adelaide Panthers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Adelaide United U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adelaide United U23's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Adelaide Panthers than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for South Adelaide Panthers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United U23 than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adelaide United U23, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

South Adelaide Panthers - Adelaide United U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
2', 0 - 1, Dukuly Y. ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, Jovanovic L. ⚽,
37', 0 - 3, Jovanovic L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 1 - 3, Rideout J. ⚽,
55', 1 - 4, Jovanovic L. ⚽,
57', 2 - 4, Parker R. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Adelaide Panthers
Australian NPL South Australian
29.06.24	Modbury Jets - South Adelaide Panthers	3:3 ✺
21.06.24	South Adelaide Panthers - Campbelltown City	2:2 ✺
15.06.24	Adelaide Croatia Raiders - South Adelaide Panthers	1:3 ✺
07.06.24	South Adelaide Panthers - FK Beograd	1:1 ✺
01.06.24	Adelaide Comets - South Adelaide Panthers	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.7 TTWTL
- Adelaide United U23
Australian NPL South Australian
29.06.24	Adelaide United U23 - Adelaide Olympic	2:2 ✺
22.06.24	North Eastern MetroStars - Adelaide United U23	5:1 ✺
15.06.24	Adelaide United U23 - Croydon	3:4 ✺
09.06.24	Adelaide United U23 - Para Hills Knights	4:4 ✺
01.06.24	Modbury Jets - Adelaide United U23	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL South Australian
21.04.24	Adelaide United U23 - South Adelaide Panthers	2:1

South Adelaide Panthers - Adelaide United U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide