Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL South Australia - Round 14

Date: 7 June 2024, Friday


	South Adelaide Panthers		FK Beograd

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.2	4.2	1.6
	4.5	4.33	1.55
	4.58	4.65	1.58
	4.58	4.64	1.58
	4.33	4.4	1.53
	4.49	4.45	1.54	Watch
	4.5	4.6	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.45 ↓ (7.17)	4.47 ↓ (4.5)	1.56 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Adelaide Panthers
20.6%

Draw
20.5%

FK Beograd
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.8%

20.4%

66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.3%

19.7%

69.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Adelaide Panthers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in South Adelaide Panthers's performance.

FK Beograd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FK Beograd might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Adelaide Panthers than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with South Adelaide Panthers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FK Beograd than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FK Beograd could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

South Adelaide Panthers - FK Beograd Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Pollock D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ SA State League and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches South Adelaide won 3.

South Adelaide has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Beograd is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Beograd is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Beograd to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Last 6 head-to-head matches South Adelaide won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-11.

Including matches at home between the teams South Adelaide won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Adelaide Panthers
Australian NPL South Australian
01.06.24	Adelaide Comets - South Adelaide Panthers	6:1 ✺
24.05.24	South Adelaide Panthers - Adelaide City	1:3 ✺
17.05.24	Para Hills Knights - South Adelaide Panthers	3:0 ✺
10.05.24	South Adelaide Panthers - Adelaide Olympic	1:2 ✺
04.05.24	North Eastern MetroStars - South Adelaide Panthers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FK Beograd Australia
Australian NPL South Australian
01.06.24	FK Beograd - Adelaide Olympic	4:0 ✺
25.05.24	North Eastern MetroStars - FK Beograd	2:1 ✺
18.05.24	Croydon - FK Beograd	2:3 ✺
11.05.24	FK Beograd - Adelaide United U23	2:2 ✺
04.05.24	Modbury Jets - FK Beograd	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL South Australian
08.03.24	FK Beograd - South Adelaide Panthers	2:3
01.07.23	South Adelaide Panthers - FK Beograd	3:1
08.04.23	FK Beograd - South Adelaide Panthers	4:1
28.05.22	South Adelaide Panthers - FK Beograd	1:1
19.02.22	FK Beograd - South Adelaide Panthers	0:3
Australian APL Premier League
08.06.15	FK Beograd - South Adelaide Panthers	3:3

South Adelaide Panthers - FK Beograd: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide