Match Info

AFRICA: AFRICA CUP OF NATIONS - PLAY OFFS - 3RD PLACE

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Félix Houphouët-Boigny (Abidjan)

Referee: Weyesa B. T. (Eth)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	beIN Sports
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV2, Sport TV6
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium


	South Africa		D.R. Congo

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.25	2.2	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.2
	3.35	3.35	2.22	Watch
	3.35	3.25	2.31
	3.53	3.22	2.27
	3.4	3.24	2.24
	3.2	3.3	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↓ (3.68)	3.27 ↑ (3.2)	2.25 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Africa
28.6%

Draw
29.1%

D.R. Congo
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

30.2%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

29.9%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Africa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

D.R. Congo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Africa than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for D.R. Congo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	63.6%	9.1%

South Africa - D.R. Congo Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. South Africa will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). D.R. Congo will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Williams R. (C) 20. Mudau K. 5. Xulu S. 19. Sibisi N. 6. Modiba A. 4. Mokoena T. 11. Zwane T. 13. Sithole S. 21. Mayambela M. 9. Makgopa E. 23. Morena T.	16. Bertaud D. (G) 4. Bayeye B. J. 22. Mbemba Ch. (C) 5. Batubinsika D. 12. Kayembe J. 6. Tshibola A. 8. Moutoussamy S. 10. Bongonda T. 7. Diangana G. 11. Silas 23. Banza S.
Substitutes
8. Adams J. 7. Appollis O. 22. Goss R. (G) 17. Lepasa Z. 3. Mashego T. 2. Mobbie N. 15. Monare T. 16. Mothwa V. (G)	17. Bakambu C. 15. Bushiri R. 13. Elia M. 2. Inonga H. 24. Kalulu G. 26. Masuaku A. 19. Mayele F. 27. Mfulu O. 1. Mpasi-Nzau L. (G) 18. Pickel C. 21. Siadi B. (G) 20. Wissa Y.
Coaches
Broos H.	Desabre S.

Preview

South Africa is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches D.R. Congo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

South Africa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

D.R. Congo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches South Africa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Africa
Africa Cup of Nations
07.02.24	Nigeria - South Africa	2:1 penalties ✺
03.02.24	Cape Verde - South Africa	0:1 penalties ✺
30.01.24	Morocco - South Africa	0:2 ✺
24.01.24	South Africa - Tunisia	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	South Africa - Namibia	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 LWWTW
- D.R. Congo
Africa Cup of Nations
07.02.24	Ivory Coast - D.R. Congo	1:0 ✺
02.02.24	D.R. Congo - Guinea	3:1 ✺
28.01.24	Egypt - D.R. Congo	1:2 penalties ✺
24.01.24	Tanzania - D.R. Congo	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	Morocco - D.R. Congo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
12.09.23	South Africa - D.R. Congo	1:0

South Africa - D.R. Congo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide