Match Info

AFRICA: AFRICA CUP OF NATIONS - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Charles Konan Banny Stadium (Yamoussoukro)

Referee: Ndala J. (Drc)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Cameroon	CRTV
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	beIN Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium


	Cape Verde		South Africa

	1	X	2
	3	2.9	2.63	Watch
	2.85	2.95	2.6
	2.98	2.98	2.62	Watch
	2.98	2.94	2.64
	3.02	2.92	2.79
	2.8	3.08	2.68	Watch
	2.9	3	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.29)	2.97 ↓ (3.05)	2.66 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cape Verde
32.3%

Draw
32%

South Africa
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

30.8%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

30.5%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cape Verde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cape Verde's form might have worsened.

South Africa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting South Africa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cape Verde than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cape Verde, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Africa than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for South Africa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	62.5%	25%

Cape Verde - South Africa Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Cape Verde will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). South Africa will win (votes: 6 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 43.1% – 81.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vozinha (G) 23. Moreira S. 5. Costa L. 4. Lopes R. 8. Joao Paulo 10. Monteiro J. 26. Lenini K. 18. Rocha Santos K. 20. Mendes R. (C) 11. Rodrigues G. 7. Jovane	1. Williams R. (C) 20. Mudau K. 18. Kekana G. 14. Mvala M. 6. Modiba A. 4. Mokoena T. 13. Sithole S. 23. Morena T. 11. Zwane T. 10. Tau P. 9. Makgopa E.
Substitutes
6. Andrade P. 21. Bebe 9. Benchimol 3. Borges D. 13. Cuca 14. Duarte D. 15. Duarte L. 17. Semedo W. 24. Silva D. (G) 2. Stopira 16. Tavares D. 19. Teixeira B.	8. Adams J. 7. Appollis O. 22. Goss R. (G) 17. Lepasa Z. 12. Maseko T. 3. Mashego T. 21. Mayambela M. 2. Mobbie N. 15. Monare T. 16. Mothwa V. (G) 19. Sibisi N. 5. Xulu S.
Coaches
Leitao Brito P.	Broos H.

Preview

Cape Verde is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches South Africa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

South Africa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cape Verde won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cape Verde
Africa Cup of Nations
29.01.24	Cape Verde - Mauritania	1:0 ✺
22.01.24	Cape Verde - Egypt	2:2 ✺
19.01.24	Cape Verde - Mozambique	3:0 ✺
14.01.24	Ghana - Cape Verde	1:2 ✺
Friendly
10.01.24	Tunisia - Cape Verde	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WTWWL
- South Africa
Africa Cup of Nations
30.01.24	Morocco - South Africa	0:2 ✺
24.01.24	South Africa - Tunisia	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	South Africa - Namibia	4:0 ✺
16.01.24	Mali - South Africa	2:0 ✺
Friendly
11.01.24	South Africa - Lesotho	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
05.09.17	South Africa - Cape Verde	1:2
01.09.17	Cape Verde - South Africa	2:1
Africa Cup of Nations
19.01.13	South Africa - Cape Verde	0:0

Cape Verde - South Africa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide