Match Info

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Round 1

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Orlando Stadium (Johannesburg)

Referee: Ali B. (Nig)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 1
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1
Australia	beIN Connect
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Guinea	RTG
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Indonesia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-africa	SABC 1, SABC Plus
Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol


	South Africa		Guinea

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.10	4.50
	1.8	3	4.9
	1.84	3.15	4.84
	1.83	3.25	4.67	Watch
	1.8	3.05	4.5
	1.8	3.18	4.77	Watch
	1.79	3.05	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.86)	3.11 ↑ (3)	4.64 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Africa
50.9%

Draw
29.4%

Guinea
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

30.1%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Africa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Guinea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

South Africa - Guinea Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. South Africa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: South Africa will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Williams R. (C) Mamelodi Sundowns 6. Modiba A. Mamelodi Sundowns 21. Okon I. Hannover 24. Makhanya O. Rangers 25. Sebelebele K. Orlando Pirates 4. Mokoena T. Mamelodi Sundowns 13. Sithole Y. Tondela 7. Appollis O. Orlando Pirates 10. Mofokeng R. Royale Union SG 12. Maseko T. FC Copenhagen 15. Rayners I. Mamelodi Sundowns	1. Sylla S. (G) Nimes 6. Fofana I. Hammarby 4. Sow S. (C) Nantes 3. Keita A. Kalmar 21. Sylla S. Den Haag 7. Moriba I. Celta Vigo 12. Kourouma L. Girona 15. Cisse S. Al Kholood 10. Balde A. St. Gallen 9. Guirassy S. Dortmund 8. Traore A. K. Leuven
Substitutes
30. Aubaas B. J. Mamelodi Sundowns 16. Chaine S. (G) Orlando Pirates 22. Goss R. (G) Mamelodi Sundowns 18. Kabini S. Molde 27. Mailula C. Mamelodi Sundowns 2. Matuludi T. Mamelodi Sundowns 9. Mbuthuma Y. Orlando Pirates 28. Morena T. Mamelodi Sundowns 3. Ndamane K. Mamelodi Sundowns 5. Seema L. Orlando Pirates 17. Singh L. AEL Limassol 11. Zwane T. Mamelodi Sundowns	17. Bangoura I. Genk 18. Camara A. Ludogorets 22. Camara M. (G) Asante Kotoko 25. Camara O. Guangdong GZ-Power 19. Diabate O. Genclerbirligi 24. Diaby-Fadiga L. Rakow Czestochowa 2. Diakite I. Cercle Brugge 16. Keita M. (G) 13. Keita M. Vasteras SK 20. Konate M. Al Hazem Rass 5. Soumah M. Sirius 14. Sylla M. Damac
Coaches
Mosimane P.	Duarte P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Okon I. ⚽, Sithole Y. (A),
40', Guirassy S. 🟨,
44', Okon I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kourouma L. ↓, Diabate O. ↑,
57', Modiba A. ↓, Kabini S. ↑,
63', Fofana I. ↓, Diakite I. ↑,
63', Moriba I. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
67', Maseko T. 🟨,
68', Rayners I. ↓, Mbuthuma Y. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Cisse S. ⚽,
75', Traore A. K. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Kabini S. ⚽, Mbuthuma Y. (A),
82', Appollis O. ↓, Morena T. ↑,
82', Mofokeng R. ↓, Aubaas B. J. ↑,
82', Maseko T. ↓, Singh L. ↑,
85', Cisse S. ↓, Camara O. ↑,

Preview

South Africa is ranked FIFA: 54., and Guinea is ranked FIFA: 81..

Bookmakers give the edge to South Africa for this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, South Africa has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1 (averaging 1:0.5 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Africa
FIFA World Cup
28.06.26	South Africa - Canada	0:1 ✺
24.06.26	South Africa - South Korea	1:0 ✺
18.06.26	Czech Republic - South Africa	1:1 ✺
11.06.26	Mexico - South Africa	2:0 ✺
Friendly
29.05.26	South Africa - Nicaragua	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWTLT
- Guinea
Friendly
04.06.26	Northern Ireland - Guinea	1:0 ✺
31.03.26	Guinea - Benin	0:1 ✺
27.03.26	Guinea - Togo	2:2 ✺
18.11.25	Guinea - Niger	1:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
14.10.25	Guinea - Botswana	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

African Nations Championship
11.08.25	South Africa - Guinea	2:1
Friendly
25.03.22	South Africa - Guinea	0:0

South Africa - Guinea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide