Match Info

AFRICA: World Championship - Qualification - Round 5

Date: 21 March 2025, Friday

Location: Peter Mokaba Stadium (Polokwane)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport PSL
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 4
Croatia	SportKlub 4
India	FanCode, FanCode
Montenegro	Sportklub 4
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 4
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	SportKlub 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
South-africa	SABC 1, SABC 3, SABC Plus, SABC Sport, SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, SuperSport PSL
Usa	ESPN+
World	FIFA+


	South Africa		Lesotho

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.25	12	Watch
	1.23	5.75	13.5	Watch
	1.25	5.5	11	Watch
	1.23	5.37	13.32
	1.24	5.47	13.47	Watch
	1.25	5	13	Watch
	1.28	5.26	12	Watch
	1.25	5.5	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↑ (1.24)	5.39 ↑ (5.2)	12.41 ↓ (14.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Africa
75%

Draw
17.4%

Lesotho
7.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.4%

18%

6.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Africa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Lesotho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.7%	0%	10.3%

South Africa - Lesotho Predictions

Users Predictions: South Africa will win (26 of 29 users predict this - 89.66%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Williams R. (C) Mamelodi Sundowns 20. Mudau K. Mamelodi Sundowns 21. Ngezana S. FCSB 19. Sibisi N. Orlando Pirates 3. Basadien F. Stellenbosch FC 8. Adams J. Mamelodi Sundowns 4. Mokoena T. Mamelodi Sundowns 11. Mofokeng R. Orlando Pirates 10. Tau P. Qatar SC 9. Foster L. Burnley 17. Mokwana E. Esperance Tunis	16. Moerane S. (C) LMPS 2. Mkwanazi M. Kruger United 20. Makhele T. Chippa Utd. 13. Matlabe F. 22. Makhetha M. LMPS 19. Matsau L. 5. Bereng T. 11. Mokhachane N. Jwaneng Galaxy 15. Snyders K. LCS 6. Lebokollane L. 12. Makateng K. Defence Force
Substitutes
7. Appollis O. Polokwane City 15. Aubaas B. J. Mamelodi Sundowns 16. Chaine S. (G) Orlando Pirates 22. Goss R. (G) Supersport Utd 18. Kekana G. Mamelodi Sundowns 6. Letlapa V. Sekhukhune 12. Maphangule N. Polokwane City 5. Mbatha T. Orlando Pirates 2. Mobbie N. Supersport Utd 14. Moloisane B. 23. Morena T. Mamelodi Sundowns 13. Rayners I. Mamelodi Sundowns	23. Chaba T. (G) 10. Fothoane L. Township Rollers 7. Kalake H. Bantu 17. Lintsa L. LU FC 1. Majoro N. 21. Makokoane R. 18. Malane T. 8. Matsoele T. Matlama 9. Mohapi M. 3. Rasethuntsa R. 14. Sefoli T. Linare 4. Toloane T. Defence Force
Coaches
Broos H.	Notsi L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', 1 - 0, Mofokeng R. ⚽, Mokwana E. (A),
64', 2 - 0, Adams J. ⚽,
66', Mokwana E. ↓, Morena T. ↑,
70', Foster L. 🟨,
70', Lebokollane L. ↓, Toloane T. ↑,
82', Adams J. ↓, Aubaas B. J. ↑,
82', Mokoena T. ↓, Mbatha T. ↑,
82', Foster L. ↓, Rayners I. ↑,
88', Makateng K. ↓, Malane T. ↑,
90+3', Tau P. ↓, Maphangule N. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches South Africa won 2.

South Africa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match South Africa is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches South Africa won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:7 (average 1.7:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Africa
African Nations Championship
09.03.25	Egypt - South Africa	1:3 ✺
02.03.25	South Africa - Egypt	1:1 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
19.11.24	South Africa - South Sudan	3:0 ✺
15.11.24	Uganda - South Africa	0:2 ✺
15.10.24	Congo - South Africa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTWWT
- Lesotho
African Nations Championship
28.12.24	Angola - Lesotho	0:1 ✺
21.12.24	Lesotho - Angola	0:2 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
18.11.24	Morocco - Lesotho	7:0 ✺
14.11.24	Lesotho - Central Africa	1:0 ✺
African Nations Championship
26.10.24	Lesotho - Namibia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 38.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
11.01.24	South Africa - Lesotho	0:0
COSAFA Cup
13.07.21	South Africa - Lesotho	4:0
African Nations Championship
04.08.19	South Africa - Lesotho	0:3
28.07.19	Lesotho - South Africa	3:2
COSAFA Cup
18.06.16	South Africa - Lesotho	2:1 penalties
Friendly
02.06.13	Lesotho - South Africa	0:2

South Africa - Lesotho: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide