Match Info

AFRICA: Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Round 5

Date: 15 November 2024, Friday

Location: Nelson Mandela National Stadium (Kampala)

Referee: Mahamat A. (Cha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
South-africa	SABC 1, SABC Plus, SABC Sport


	Uganda		South Africa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.6	2.5	2.95
	2.75	2.7	3	Watch
	2.87	2.5	3.34
	2.85	2.45	3.27	Watch
	2.75	2.88	2.5
	2.88	2.57	3.38	Watch
	2.75	2.65	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.7)	2.61 ↓ (2.9)	3.06 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uganda
33.6%

Draw
35.8%

South Africa
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

30.9%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uganda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

South Africa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and South Africa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	70%	30%

Uganda - South Africa Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. South Africa will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Watenga I. (G) Golden Arrows 4. Semakula K. Club Africain 5. Mugabi B. Anorthosis 3. Awany T. D. SC Ashdod 23. Kayondo A. Liberec 21. Okello A. Vipers 22. Lwanga T. Simba 8. Aucho K. (C) Young Africans 13. Ssemugabi J. Kitara 14. Omedi D. Kitara 7. Mato R. Brera Strumica	1. Williams R. (C) Mamelodi Sundowns 20. Mudau K. Mamelodi Sundowns 14. Mvala M. Mamelodi Sundowns 13. Dortley R. Kaizer Chiefs 6. Modiba A. Mamelodi Sundowns 4. Mokoena T. Mamelodi Sundowns 15. Aubaas B. J. Mamelodi Sundowns 17. Mokwana E. Esperance Tunis 12. Le Roux L. Varnamo 7. Appollis O. Polokwane City 9. Makgopa E. Orlando Pirates
Substitutes
1. Alionzi N. (G) Mechal SC 6. Byaruhanga B. Austin 11. Kabuye C. Sandviken 17. Kiwanuka H. Villa 12. Kizito G. Kampala City 18. Lukwago C. (G) Venda 15. Lwaliwa H. Al Ain 20. Muleme I. Zizkov 10. Mutyaba T. Bordeaux 16. Ssekiganda R. Villa 2. Wasswa G. Ethiopia Bunna	3. Basadien F. Stellenbosch FC 16. Chaine S. (G) Orlando Pirates 8. Maswanganyi P. Orlando Pirates 5. Mbatha T. Orlando Pirates 2. Mobbie N. Supersport Utd 10. Mofokeng R. Orlando Pirates 23. Morena T. Mamelodi Sundowns 21. Ngezana S. FCSB 11. Rayners I. Mamelodi Sundowns 19. Sibisi N. Orlando Pirates 22. Stephens S. (G) Stellenbosch FC 18. Titus D. Stellenbosch FC
Coaches
Put P.	Broos H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Lwanga T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Mokwana E. ↓, Morena T. ↑,
46', Awany T. D. ↓, Lwaliwa H. ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Morena T. ⚽,
56', Ssemugabi J. ↓, Mukwala S. ↑,
56', Lwanga T. ↓, Byaruhanga B. ↑,
56', Omedi D. ↓, Kiwanuka H. ↑,
63', Okello A. ↓, Mutyaba T. ↑,
71', Modiba A. ↓, Basadien F. ↑,
71', Makgopa E. ↓, Rayners I. ↑,
71', Le Roux L. ↓, Maswanganyi P. ↑,
84', Appollis O. ↓, Mbatha T. ↑,
89', 0 - 2, Maswanganyi P. ⚽, Rayners I. (A),

Preview

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Uganda won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uganda
Africa Cup of Nations
15.10.24	South Sudan - Uganda	1:2 ✺
11.10.24	Uganda - South Sudan	1:0 ✺
09.09.24	Uganda - Congo	2:0 ✺
06.09.24	South Africa - Uganda	2:2 ✺
FIFA World Cup
10.06.24	Uganda - Algeria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWTL
- South Africa
Africa Cup of Nations
15.10.24	Congo - South Africa	1:1 ✺
11.10.24	South Africa - Congo	5:0 ✺
10.09.24	South Sudan - South Africa	2:3 ✺
06.09.24	South Africa - Uganda	2:2 ✺
COSAFA Cup
02.07.24	South Africa - Eswatini	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
06.09.24	South Africa - Uganda	2:2
Friendly
10.06.21	South Africa - Uganda	3:2
COSAFA Cup
04.06.19	Uganda - South Africa	1:1

Uganda - South Africa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide