Match Info
NPL Tasmania - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 29 August 2026, SaturdayLocation: Darcy Street (Hobart)
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South Hobart |
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Kingborough Lions United |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
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1.82 |
3.70 |
3.60 |
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1.87 |
3.70 |
3.15 |
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1.87 |
3.90 |
3.46 |
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1.88 |
3.66 |
3.77 |
Watch |
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1.85 |
3.40 |
3.40 |
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1.86 |
4.15 |
3.42 |
Watch |
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1.86 |
3.80 |
3.35 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.85) |
3.76 ↑
(3.65) |
3.45 ↑
(3.25) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
South Hobart
49.2% | Draw
24.3% | Kingborough Lions United
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
South Hobart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Kingborough Lions United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Hobart than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kingborough Lions United than the current prediction. (-0.1%)South Hobart - Kingborough Lions United Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kingborough Lions (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Kingborough Lions (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Kingborough Lions (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Kingborough Lions (votes: 3 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 30', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 44', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- Extra Time (2 - 0)
- 105', 3 - 2, ⚽,
- 119', 4 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Hobart won 4.South Hobart is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Kingborough Lions has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).South Hobart may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games. South Hobart could have a small edge in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, South Hobart won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 50:34. (average 2.5:1.7).Including home matches between the teams, South Hobart won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 27:16. (average 2.7:1.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Kingborough Lions United - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 27.42%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NPL Tasmania | | | 20.06.26 | Kingborough Lions United - South Hobart | 1:1 | | 20.03.26 | South Hobart - Kingborough Lions United | 5:1 | | 26.07.25 | South Hobart - Kingborough Lions United | 4:1 | | 24.05.25 | Kingborough Lions United - South Hobart | 2:3 | | 14.03.25 | South Hobart - Kingborough Lions United | 4:2 | | 27.07.24 | Kingborough Lions United - South Hobart | 1:4 | | 25.05.24 | South Hobart - Kingborough Lions United | 3:3 |
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