Match Info

Friendly International Women

Date: 2 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki (Nagasaki)


	Japan W		Canada W

	1	X	2
	1.56	4.1	5.25
	1.83	3.59	3.92	Watch
	1.5	3.75	5
	1.54	3.86	5.81	Watch
	1.6	3.8	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.76)	3.82 ↑ (3.71)	5 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Japan W
57.4%

Draw
24.1%

Canada W
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

24.5%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Japan W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Japan W's performance.

Canada W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Canada W might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Japan W - Canada W Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Okuma A. (G) 22. Ishikawa R. Everton 3. Minami M. Brighton 21. Moriya M. Angel City 13. Kitagawa H. Everton 17. Hamano M. Chelsea 14. Hasegawa Y. (C) Manchester City 16. Miura N. Washington Spirit 15. Fujino A. Manchester City 11. Tanaka M. Utah Royals 20. Matsukubo M. North Carolina Courage	18. D'Angelo S. (G) Aston Villa 16. Sonis J. Racing Louisville 14. Gilles V. Bayern Munich 4. Zadorsky S. West Ham 24. Collins S. Bay FC 27. Ward H. Vancouver Rise FC 17. Fleming J. (C) Portland Thorns FC 25. Regan E. AFC Toronto 26. Alidou d'Anjou M. Portland Thorns FC 11. Viens E. AS Roma 19. Leon A. San Diego Wave
Substitutes
2. Endo J. Angel City 12. Hirao C. (G) Granada CF 6. Koga T. Tottenham 4. Kumagai S. London City Lionesses 7. Miyazawa H. Manchester United 10. Nagano F. Liverpool 25. Nakashima Y. Sanfrecce Hiroshima 24. Narumiya Y. Inac Kobe Leonesa 8. Seike K. Brighton 18. Shiragaki U. C-Osaka 5. Takahashi H. Urawa 19. Tanikawa M. Bayern Munich 9. Ueki R. West Ham 1. Yamashita A. (G) Manchester City 26. Yoshida R. Inac Kobe Leonesa	13. Awujo S. Manchester United 31. Burns E. (G) Nantes 7. Grosso J. Chicago Stars 9. Huitema J. Seattle Reign 30. Jourde F. PSG 10. Lawrence A. Lyon 29. Levasseur M. Montpellier 15. Prince N. Kansas City Current 8. Riviere J. Manchester United 12. Rose J. Manchester City 1. Sheridan K. (G) San Diego Wave
Coaches
Nielsen N.	Stoney C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Okuma A. ↓, Hirao C. ↑,
45', 1 - 0, Tanaka M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hasegawa Y. ↓, Tanikawa M. ↑,
46', Miura N. ↓, Miyazawa H. ↑,
60', Ward H. ↓, Prince N. ↑,
61', Matsukubo M. ↓, Nakashima Y. ↑,
68', Regan E. ↓, Awujo S. ↑,
68', Alidou d'Anjou M. ↓, Grosso J. ↑,
78', Viens E. ↓, Huitema J. ↑,
78', Leon A. ↓, Lawrence A. ↑,
79', Fujino A. ↓, Ueki R. ↑,
79', Kitagawa H. ↓, Shiragaki U. ↑,
84', Tanaka M. ↓, Takahashi H. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Japan won 3.

In this match, Japan is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Japan won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:5. (average 2.4:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Japan W
Friendly International Women
29.11.25	Japan W - Canada W	3:0 ✺
28.10.25	Norway W - Japan W	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Italy W - Japan W	1:1 ✺
EAFF E-1 Women
16.07.25	Japan W - China W	0:0 ✺
13.07.25	Japan W - South Korea W	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLTTT
- Canada W
Friendly International Women
29.11.25	Japan W - Canada W	3:0 ✺
28.10.25	Netherlands W - Canada W	1:0 ✺
24.10.25	Switzerland W - Canada W	1:0 ✺
02.07.25	USA W - Canada W	3:0 ✺
27.06.25	Canada W - Costa Rica W	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Women
29.11.25	Japan W - Canada W	3:0
SheBelieves Cup Women
22.02.23	Canada W - Japan W	0:3
Olympic Games - Football Women
21.07.21	Japan W - Canada W	1:1
Friendly International Women
06.10.19	Japan W - Canada W	4:0
Algarve Cup Women
07.03.18	Canada W - Japan W	2:0
Friendly International Women
28.10.14	Canada W - Japan W	2:3
25.10.14	Canada W - Japan W	0:3

Upcoming Matches