Match Info

National League North - Round 41

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	South Shields		Alfreton Town

	1	X	2
	1.17	6.25	13
	1.16	6.5	12.5
	1.16	7.43	15.86
	1.2	6.45	12.86	Watch
	1.17	6.5	15
	1.18	6.59	13.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.31)	6.62 ↑ (5.05)	13.82 ↑ (8.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Shields
79.2%

Draw
14%

Alfreton Town
6.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.8%

18.4%

10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.1%

17.1%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Shields has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in South Shields's performance.

Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Shields than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

South Shields - Alfreton Town Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Wheeldon L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', 2 - 0, Blackett P. ⚽,
72', 3 - 0, Dodds D. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation).

South Shields has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Alfreton has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

South Shields may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, South Shields is the obvious favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Shields won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 2.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, South Shields won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Outrights of English National League North for now

South Shields: 19.43%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	South Shields	10	6	2	2	15:13	2	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Shields FC
English National League North
21.03.26	South Shields - Merthyr Town	4:1 ✺
17.03.26	King`s Lynn Town - South Shields	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Hereford - South Shields	2:1 ✺
10.03.26	Chorley - South Shields	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	South Shields - Curzon Ashton	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLTW
- Alfreton Town
English National League North
24.03.26	Alfreton Town - Macclesfield Town	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Spennymoor Town - Alfreton Town	1:1 ✺
19.03.26	Alfreton Town - Hereford	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Southport - Alfreton Town	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Alfreton Town - Peterborough Sports	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
19.08.25	Alfreton Town - South Shields	0:2
25.02.25	South Shields - Alfreton Town	2:1
26.11.24	Alfreton Town - South Shields	2:4
13.02.24	Alfreton Town - South Shields	1:0
05.08.23	South Shields - Alfreton Town	3:1

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