The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Southampton 61%
Draw 22.7%
Portsmouth 16.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.7%
25.1%
19.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.7%
23.8%
18.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Southampton's performance.
Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+2%)
Southampton - Portsmouth Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Southampton (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Southampton will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Southampton (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Stenson F. (G) 23. Collett M. 5. Goddard A. 6. Bourne T. 19. Simpson J. 10. McAlonie M. 14. Bashford M. 8. Peplow C. 11. Ferguson A. 7. Brazil E. 20. Primus A. (C)
1. Gray J. S. (G) 15. Humphries G. 14. Wilding A. 5. Coan H. 2. Bull J. (C) 4. Barker S. 19. Woolley J. 22. Primmer T. 11. Hornby M. 18. Nixon A. 9. Jones E.
Substitutes
2. Brown R. 12. Edwards M. 15. Hack E. 17. McGowan T. 3. Mott M. 66. Palmer A. 30. Pettit E. (G) 26. Tucker R. 27. Watts I.
42. Dahou J. 56. Erhabor C. (G) 20. Kennedy S. 8. Rowbotham A. 10. Rutherford E. 28. Sheffield C. 6. Younger J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Simpson J. ⚽, Ferguson A. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Brazil E. ⚽, Bourne T. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', Nixon A. ↓, Dahou J. ↑,
64', Ferguson A. ↓, Mott M. ↑,
65', Primus A. ↓, Palmer A. ↑,
74', Woolley J. ↓, Rutherford E. ↑,
77', McAlonie M. ↓, McGowan T. ↑,
78', 3 - 0, Bashford M. ⚽,
80', 4 - 0, Palmer A. ⚽, Collett M. (A),
82', Jones E. ↓, Sheffield C. ↑,
83', Wilding A. 🟨,
88', Simpson J. ↓, Brown R. ↑,
90+4', Peplow C. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 11 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southampton won 4.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
In this match, Southampton is a strong favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Southampton won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:3. (average 2.8:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Southampton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
United-kingdom
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Stenson F. (G) 
McAlonie M. 
Primus A. (C) 
Jones E. 
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