Match Info

WSL 2 - Round 9

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton)


	Southampton		Durham

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.25	3.45
	1.97	3.63	3.4
	1.72	3.64	4.37	Watch
	1.98	3.32	3.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.7)	3.46 ↓ (3.52)	3.65 ↓ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southampton
48.4%

Draw
26.5%

Durham
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

25.7%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

25%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Durham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Southampton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durham than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Southampton - Durham Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Stenson F. (G) 23. Collett M. 15. Hack E. 6. Bourne T. 19. Simpson J. 10. McAlonie M. 66. Palmer A. 8. Peplow C. 12. Edwards M. 20. Primus A. (C) 7. Brazil E.	35. Sheppard C. (G) 2. Ayre G. 5. Wilson S. (C) 20. Foster M. 3. Briggs L. 4. Toland T. 7. Hepple B. 10. Blake H. 8. Lambert M. 17. Speckmaier M. 15. Pritchard P.
Substitutes
4. Akpan A. 14. Bashford M. 11. Ferguson A. 5. Goddard A. 3. Mott M. 30. Pettit E. (G) 35. Roberts E. 26. Tucker R. 27. Watts I.	16. Ede G. 11. Grant A. 27. Jones A. 13. King A. (G) 25. McFarland L. 6. Robson S. 9. Watson L. 19. Wilson E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Palmer A. 🟨,
10', 0 - 1, Hepple B. ⚽,
43', Hack E. ↓, Goddard A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Edwards M. ↓, Ferguson A. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Primus A. ⚽, Goddard A. (A),
69', Palmer A. ↓, Bashford M. ↑,
70', Collett M. ↓, Mott M. ↑,
81', Blake H. ↓, Jones A. ↑,
86', Brazil E. ↓, Tucker R. ↑,
90', Pritchard P. ↓, Watson L. ↑,
90+3', Peplow C. ↓, Akpan A. ↑,
90+8', Briggs L. ↓, Robson S. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southampton won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Southampton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Southampton has had a series of away games.

In this match, Southampton is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Southampton won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Southampton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southampton WFC
English League Cup Women
12.11.25	West Ham - Southampton	5:0 ✺
English WSL 2
09.11.25	Charlton Athletic - Southampton	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Southampton - Nottingham Forest	2:3 ✺
English League Cup Women
19.10.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Southampton	3:0 ✺
English WSL 2
12.10.25	Portsmouth - Southampton	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW
- Durham WFC
English WSL 2
09.11.25	Durham - Newcastle United	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Sheffield United - Durham	2:1 ✺
English League Cup Women
16.10.25	Durham - Liverpool LFC	1:2 ✺
English WSL 2
12.10.25	Durham - Nottingham Forest	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Bristol City - Durham	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English WSL 2
26.01.25	Durham - Southampton	1:0
10.11.24	Southampton - Durham	1:1
17.12.23	Durham - Southampton	1:0
15.10.23	Southampton - Durham	2:1
19.03.23	Southampton - Durham	0:1
22.01.23	Durham - Southampton	0:0

Southampton - Durham: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide