The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newcastle United 52.7%
Draw 25.6%
Southampton 21.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.2%
25.2%
20.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.4%
24.2%
19.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Newcastle United - Southampton Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tamminen A. (G) 2. Wardlaw C. 25. Mannion A. 12. Cooper D. 3. Stokes D. (C) 22. Joel L. 20. Sevenius O. 4. Nobbs J. 10. Pike M. 26. Lumsden B. 9. Hayles S.
22. Stenson F. (G) 19. Simpson J. 6. Bourne T. 5. Goddard A. 8. Peplow C. 10. McAlonie M. 14. Bashford M. 27. Watts I. 11. Ferguson A. 7. Brazil E. 20. Primus A. (C)
Substitutes
56. Freeman A. 15. Grec M. 11. Gregory F. 21. McQuade J. 13. Moan C. (G) 35. Murphy E. 5. Purfield J.
4. Akpan A. 12. Edwards M. 15. Hack E. 66. Palmer A. 30. Pettit E. (G) 26. Tucker R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Nobbs J. ⚽, Wardlaw C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Mannion A. 🟨,
61', Joel L. ↓, McQuade J. ↑,
70', Hayles S. ↓, Murphy E. ↑,
74', Nobbs J. 🟨,
75', McQuade J. 🟨,
75', Peplow C. ↓, Palmer A. ↑,
81', Ferguson A. ↓, Edwards M. ↑,
84', Pike M. ↓, Grec M. ↑,
86', Brazil E. ↓, Tucker R. ↑,
90+6', Stokes D. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 and 7).
In recent matches, Newcastle has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Southampton has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Newcastle is seen as the favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Newcastle won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.