The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Southampton U21 50.8%
Draw 22%
Aston Villa U21 27.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.2%
21.6%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52%
21.9%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southampton U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
The chances for Aston Villa U21 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton U21 than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa U21 than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Southampton U21 - Aston Villa U21 Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Moody D. (G) 27. Kayi Sanda J. 5. Dobson-Ventura T. (C) 4. Moore J. 28. Whittaker R. 17. Rohart-Brown T. 29. Kakay S. 18. Daley A. 8. Sesay M. 24. O'Brien-Whitmarsh J. 20. Gathercole H.
1. Proctor S. (G) 2. McWilliams A. 4. Carroll T. 5. Mosquera Y. 3. Fortes R. 8. Jenner M. 6. Kone M. 7. Brannigan C. 10. Burrowes B. (C) 11. Lynch L. 9. Mulley T.
Substitutes
14. Anderson C. 7. Charles B. 22. Mcmullan K. 13. Moloney G. (G) 6. Okonola A.
12. Asemota O. (G) 14. Burgess W. 15. Cotcher M. 16. Lynskey A. 13. Routh L.
Coaches
Lallana A.
Shan J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, O'Brien-Whitmarsh J. ⚽,
20', Gathercole H. 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Mosquera Y. ⚽, Mulley T. (A),
45', Rohart-Brown T. ↓, Charles B. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
55', 1 - 2, Mulley T. ⚽, Lynch L. (A),
60', Whittaker R. ↓, Okonola A. ↑,
68', 1 - 3, Lynch L. ⚽, Mulley T. (A),
71', Charles B. 🟨,
72', Brannigan C. ↓, Lynskey A. ↑,
77', 2 - 3, Kakay S. ⚽, Gathercole H. (A),
79', Okonola A. 🟨,
80', Jenner M. ↓, Cotcher M. ↑,
84', Fortes R. 🟨,
90+1', Lynch L. ↓, Burgess W. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 3, Sesay M. ⚽, O'Brien-Whitmarsh J. (A),
90+7', Sesay M. ↓, Mcmullan K. ↑,
90+11', Cotcher M. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
104', Fortes R. ↓, Routh L. ↑,
105', Kakay S. ↓, Anderson C. ↑,
107', Moore J. 🟨,
112', Lynskey A. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, O'Brien-Whitmarsh J. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Cotcher M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Daley A. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Lynskey A. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Gathercole H. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Carroll T. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Charles B. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Burrowes B. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Moody D. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Mosquera Y. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Recent performances by S`hampton U21 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Aston Villa U21 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
S`hampton U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Aston Villa U21 has had a series of away games.
S`hampton U21 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, S`hampton U21 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).
Including home matches between the teams, S`hampton U21 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).