Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 14

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday


	Southport		Scunthorpe United

	1	X	2
	3.6	4	1.73
	4	3.4	1.75
	4.33	3.6	1.75
	4.3	3.57	1.77
	4.09	3.73	1.81	Watch
	4.31	3.62	1.74
	4.33	3.6	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (3.16)	3.65 ↑ (3.63)	1.76 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southport
22.3%

Draw
25.3%

Scunthorpe United
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

25.4%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

25.6%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Southport's form might have worsened.

Scunthorpe United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Scunthorpe United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southport than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Southport, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Scunthorpe United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Southport - Scunthorpe United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Roberts C. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Lloyd D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 1 - 2, Whitehall D. ⚽,
60', 2 - 2, Hilton S. ⚽,
61', 3 - 2, Lloyd D. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Scunthorpe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Scunthorpe is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Southport won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:2 (average 0:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Southport won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southport
English National League North
22.10.24	Leamington - Southport	3:0 ✺
19.10.24	Scarborough Athletic - Southport	1:2 ✺
12.10.24	Southport - South Shields	3:0 ✺
05.10.24	Southport - Brackley Town	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
28.09.24	Southport - Curzon Ashton	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWTL
- Scunthorpe United
English National League North
22.10.24	Scunthorpe United - Rushall Olympic	3:0 ✺
19.10.24	Chester - Scunthorpe United	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Scunthorpe United - Oxford City	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
28.09.24	Guiseley - Scunthorpe United	1:0 ✺
English National League North
21.09.24	Scarborough Athletic - Scunthorpe United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
01.04.24	Southport - Scunthorpe United	0:1
21.11.23	Scunthorpe United - Southport	1:0

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