Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Sozopol		Vitosha Bistritsa

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.56	3.66	5.17
	1.55	3.74	5.35	Watch
	1.58	3.65	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (2.04)	3.66 ↑ (3.05)	5.18 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sozopol
57.8%

Draw
24.7%

Vitosha Bistritsa
17.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44%

29.4%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

28.7%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sozopol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sozopol's performance.

Vitosha Bistritsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitosha Bistritsa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sozopol than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sozopol that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitosha Bistritsa than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitosha Bistritsa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87%	8.7%	4.3%

Sozopol - Vitosha Bistritsa Predictions

Users Predictions: Sozopol will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Sozopol is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vitosha is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sozopol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sozopol is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sozopol won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Sozopol won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sozopol
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
08.10.22	Montana - Sozopol	4:1 ✺
04.10.22	Sozopol - Botev Plovdiv II	1:1 ✺
17.09.22	Krumovgrad - Sozopol	1:2 ✺
10.09.22	Sozopol - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:1 ✺
05.09.22	Ludogorets II - Sozopol	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 LTWWT
- Vitosha Bistritsa
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
07.10.22	Vitosha Bistritsa - Maritsa Plovdiv	3:1 ✺
30.09.22	Dunav Ruse - Vitosha Bistritsa	4:1 ✺
18.09.22	Vitosha Bistritsa - Lovech	1:2 ✺
11.09.22	Spartak Pleven - Vitosha Bistritsa	2:1 ✺
05.09.22	Vitosha Bistritsa - Strumska Slava Radomir	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
29.08.20	Sozopol - Vitosha Bistritsa	0:0
11.12.16	Sozopol - Vitosha Bistritsa	3:0

Sozopol - Vitosha Bistritsa