Match Info

GEORGIA: CRYSTALBET EROVNULI LIGA 2 - ROUND 26

Date: 15 September 2023, Friday


	Spaeri		Merani Tbilisi

	1	X	2
	1.17	5.94	7.73
	1.18	6.95	10.75
	1.19	6.6	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.45)	6.5 ↑ (4.79)	9.29 ↑ (5.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spaeri
76.4%

Draw
13.9%

Merani Tbilisi
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

19.2%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

13.7%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spaeri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spaeri's performance.

Merani Tbilisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Merani Tbilisi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spaeri than the current prediction. (-31.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spaeri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merani Tbilisi than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Merani Tbilisi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Putkaradze B. (G) 6. Mathenjwa S. 15. Gadrani G. 14. Samkharadze G. 2. Mosashvili B. (C) 10. Tsatskrialashvili R. 30. Barabadze L. 12. Tshwale M. 23. Sosiashvili L. 21. Gegiadze S. 24. Gabunia T.	1. Togonidze C. (G) 15. Abramishvili S. 8. Arveladze N. 22. Bekauri T. 4. Tolordava S. (C) 2. Khubashvili T. 13. Tolordava L. 7. Bogveradze S. 9. Kochladze L. 19. Muzashvili T. 16. Kochakidze M.
Substitutes
13. Abashidze N. (G) 33. Arghvliani I. 25. Gelashvili S. 17. Kartvelishvili B. 4. Kavelashvili G. 9. Keburia K. 20. Kentchadze N. 11. Tsetskhladze G. 3. Tsetskhladze T.	24. Bogue J. 29. Koplin B. 30. Kukhianidze G. 40. Maduba D. 18. Ogunbufunmi A. 26. Sajaia S. (G) 31. Satseradze A. 25. Sebbak M.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Spaeri won 4.

Spaeri is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Merani Tbilisi has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Spaeri could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Spaeri is certain favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Spaeri won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Spaeri won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spaeri FC
Georgian Cup
07.09.23	Spaeri - Torpedo Kutaisi	0:2 ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
02.09.23	Kolkheti Poti - Spaeri	2:0 ✺
29.08.23	Spaeri - WIT Georgia	2:2 ✺
23.08.23	Gareji Sagarejo - Spaeri	3:2 ✺
18.08.23	Spaeri - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLW
- Merani Tbilisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
02.09.23	Merani Tbilisi - Merani Martvili	0:3 ✺
27.08.23	Dinamo Tbilisi 2 - Merani Tbilisi	3:0 ✺
23.08.23	Merani Tbilisi - Sioni Bolnisi	0:4 ✺
18.08.23	Kolkheti Khobi - Merani Tbilisi	2:0 ✺
13.08.23	Kolkheti Poti - Merani Tbilisi	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
04.06.23	Merani Tbilisi - Spaeri	0:3
21.04.23	Spaeri - Merani Tbilisi	1:1
27.11.22	Spaeri - Merani Tbilisi	4:2
01.10.22	Merani Tbilisi - Spaeri	0:4
Georgian Cup
07.08.22	Merani Tbilisi - Spaeri	2:3 penalties
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
05.05.22	Spaeri - Merani Tbilisi	2:2

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