Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga - Relegation - Final

Date: 10 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Central stadium (Sagaredzo)

Referee: Khorava J. (Geo)


	Gareji Sagarejo		Spaeri

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.67	3.25	4.05
	3.71	3.30	1.97	Watch
	1.73	3.1	4.5
	1.73	3.36	4.42	Watch
	1.76	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.82)	3.28 ↓ (3.4)	3.79 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gareji Sagarejo
45.3%

Draw
29.3%

Spaeri
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

26.7%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

26.3%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gareji Sagarejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Spaeri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gareji Sagarejo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spaeri than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Gareji Sagarejo - Spaeri Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gareji will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Spaeri will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Gurgenidze L. (G) 13. Galakhvaridze N. 8. Tsetskhladze T. 3. Kamladze I. 2. Mosashvili B. 23. Tolordava L. 17. Vekua G. 21. Dzebniauri T. 9. Gogolashvili G. 10. Papava L. (C) 19. Ekongolo F.	1. Putkaradze B. (G) 22. Chagunava N. 20. Kentchadze N. (C) 31. Bunturi G. 14. Samkharadze G. 8. Maisuradze S. 5. Tsalughelashvili T. 12. Barabadze L. 18. Poniava P. 7. Gegiadze S. 30. Basilashvili Z.
Substitutes
7. Gogoberishvili B. 26. Gulisashvili I. 15. Kapanadze T. 40. Kometiani M. 1. Kutaladze L. (G) 14. Parunashvili L. 16. Skhirtladze D.	23. Chomakhidze N. (G) 6. Chotalishvili T. 24. Golubiani Z. 4. Grigalashvili G. 10. Kobakhidze L. 13. Maghaldadze G. 40. Mathenjwa S. 2. Pirtakhia G. 9. Tsetskhladze G.
Coaches
Mikadze G.	Kighuradze A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Gogolashvili G. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Basilashvili Z. ⚽, Bunturi G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gogolashvili G. ↓, Gogoberishvili B. ↑,
46', Tolordava L. ↓, Kometiani M. ↑,
46', Ekongolo F. ↓, Skhirtladze D. ↑,
57', Basilashvili Z. ↓, Pirtakhia G. ↑,
68', Kamladze I. 🟨,
71', 0 - 2, Gegiadze S. ⚽,
74', Vekua G. ↓, Parunashvili L. ↑,
79', Dzebniauri T. 🟨,
83', Poniava P. ↓, Mathenjwa S. ↑,
83', Kamladze I. ↓, Gulisashvili I. ↑,
89', Gegiadze S. ↓, Tsetskhladze G. ↑,
89', Tsalughelashvili T. ↓, Maghaldadze G. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gareji won 4.

Gareji has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Spaeri has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gareji may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gareji is considered a favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Gareji won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 38:17. (average 2.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Gareji won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:10. (average 3:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gareji Sagarejo
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
06.12.25	Torpedo Kutaisi - Gareji Sagarejo	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Gareji Sagarejo - Iberia 1999	0:4 ✺
25.11.25	Gagra - Gareji Sagarejo	4:1 ✺
21.11.25	Gareji Sagarejo - Telavi	3:3 ✺
07.11.25	Gareji Sagarejo - Dinamo Tbilisi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Spaeri FC
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
25.11.25	Sioni Bolnisi - Spaeri	3:0 ✺
21.11.25	Spaeri - Rustavi	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Samtredia - Spaeri	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Spaeri - Merani Martvili	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Spaeri	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
19.10.24	Spaeri - Gareji Sagarejo	1:3
17.08.24	Gareji Sagarejo - Spaeri	5:1
11.05.24	Spaeri - Gareji Sagarejo	1:2
12.03.24	Gareji Sagarejo - Spaeri	1:1
03.11.23	Spaeri - Gareji Sagarejo	0:5
23.08.23	Gareji Sagarejo - Spaeri	3:2
19.05.23	Spaeri - Gareji Sagarejo	2:3

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