Spain - Georgia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • World Cup - Qualification
  • Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday
  • Location: Estadio Manuel Martรญnez Valero (Elche)
  • Referee: Lukjancukas M. (Ltu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
  • africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 2, Play Sports 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
    brazilBrazilSporTV
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaiQIYI, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
    czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
    europeEuropeUEFA TV
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
    franceFranceL'Equipe, L'Equipe Live Foot, New World TV
    georgiaGeorgia1TV
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
    greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
    hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
    icelandIcelandSรN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
    indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
    iranIranIRIB Varzesh
    israelIsraelSport 2
    italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Uno
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
    maldivesMaldivesMedianet
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 4
    nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandPolsat Sport 3, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
    portugalPortugalSport TV2
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
    slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
    sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
    spainSpainRTVE Play, TVE La 1
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
    taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaFox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
    worldWorldSport 24, Sport 24 At Sea
    Spain Georgia
    Spain Georgia
    1 X 2
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    Bet_in_Asia 1.15 8.75 18
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    (Initially)
    1.17
    (1.23)
    7.96
    (6)
    16.42
    (11)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

    • The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Spain
    82%
    Draw
    12.1%
    Georgia
    5.9%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    75.9% 15.6% 8.5%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Spain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spain's performance.
  • Georgia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    70% 6% 24%
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    Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Spain will win (votes: 34 - 70.8%). Georgia will win (votes: 11 - 22.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Spain: 57.9% โ€“ 83.7%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Spain (votes: 10 - 43.5%). Georgia (votes: 12 - 52.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5 - Spain (2.05) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • DNB - Georgia (13.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) ๐Ÿฅ‡ Gold Tip.
    • AH 0 - Georgia (14.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) ๐Ÿฅ‰ Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 36 Selected Experts predict this event. Spain (votes: 12 - 33.3%). Georgia (votes: 23 - 63.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.8%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    23. SpainSimon U. (C) Ath Bilbao
    12. SpainPorro P. Tottenham
      3. SpainLe Normand R. Atl. Madrid
      4. SpainCubarsi P. Barcelona
    22. SpainCucurella M. Chelsea
      6. SpainMerino M. Arsenal
    18. SpainZubimendi M. Arsenal
    20. SpainPedri Barcelona
    11. SpainTorres F. Barcelona
    21. SpainOyarzabal M. Real Sociedad
      7. SpainPino Y. Crystal Palace
      1. GeorgiaMamardashvili G. (G) Liverpool
      2. GeorgiaKakabadze O. Cracovia
      4. GeorgiaKashia G. (C) Slovan Bratislava
      5. GeorgiaGoglichidze S. Udinese
    13. GeorgiaGocholeishvili G. Hamburger
    17. GeorgiaKiteishvili O. Sturm Graz
    15. GeorgiaMekvabishvili A. Univ. Craiova
      6. GeorgiaKochorashvili G. Sporting Lisbon
      3. GeorgiaDvali L. CSKA 1948 Sofia
    22. GeorgiaMikautadze G. Villarreal
      7. GeorgiaKvaratskhelia K. PSG
    Substitutes
    16. SpainBaena A. Atl. Madrid
    15. SpainBarrios P. Atl. Madrid
      2. Spainde Frutos J. Rayo Vallecano
      8. SpainGarcia A. Bayer Leverkusen
    17. SpainGrimaldo A. Bayer Leverkusen
      9. SpainIglesias B. Celta Vigo
    14. SpainLlorente M. Atl. Madrid
      1. SpainRaya D. (G) Arsenal
    13. SpainRemiro A. (G) Real Sociedad
    10. SpainRodriguez J. Como
    19. SpainSamu FC Porto
      5. SpainVivian D. Ath Bilbao
    16. GeorgiaAzarovi I. Shakhtar
    10. GeorgiaDavitashvili Z. St Etienne
    20. GeorgiaGagnidze N. Kolos Kovalivka
    21. GeorgiaGelashvili I. Panserraikos
    23. GeorgiaGugeshashvili L. (G) PAOK
      9. GeorgiaGuliashvili G. FK Sarajevo
    12. GeorgiaKereselidze D. (G) Dila Gori
    14. GeorgiaKvernadze G. Frosinone
    11. GeorgiaLobjanidze S. Atlanta United
    18. GeorgiaMamuchashvili V. Torpedo Kutaisi
    19. GeorgiaTsitaishvili G. Metz
      8. GeorgiaZivzivadze B. Heidenheim
    Coaches
         Spainde la Fuente L.
         FranceSagnol W.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 0)
    • 11', Porro P. 🟨,
    • 24', 1 - 0, Pino Y. , Le Normand R. (A),
    • 29', Torres F. (Pen),
    • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
    • 64', 2 - 0, Oyarzabal M. ,
    • 64', Pino Y. , Baena A. ,
    • 65', Oyarzabal M. , Iglesias B. ,
    • 69', Kiteishvili O. , Gagnidze N. ,
    • 69', Mikautadze G. , Kvernadze G. ,
    • 69', Kvaratskhelia K. , Davitashvili Z. ,
    • 74', Pedri , Barrios P. ,
    • 75', Porro P. , Llorente M. ,
    • 80', Kakabadze O. , Azarovi I. ,
    • 81', Zubimendi M. , Garcia A. ,
    • 86', Mekvabishvili A. , Mamuchashvili V. ,

    Preview

  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spain won 5.
  • In this match, Spain is the undisputed favorite.
  • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Spain won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:5. (average 2.9:0.6).
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    Form
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Spain
    FIFA World Cup
    07.09.25 Turkey - Spain 0:6
    04.09.25 Bulgaria - Spain 0:3
    UEFA Nations League
    08.06.25 Portugal - Spain 3:2 penalties
    05.06.25 Spain - France 5:4
    23.03.25 Spain - Netherlands 4:3 penalties
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3
    WWLWW
    - Georgia
    FIFA World Cup
    07.09.25 Georgia - Bulgaria 3:0
    04.09.25 Georgia - Turkey 2:3
    Friendly
    08.06.25 Georgia - Cape Verde 1:1
    05.06.25 Georgia - Faroe Islands 1:0
    UEFA Nations League
    23.03.25 Georgia - Armenia 6:1
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5
    WLTWW
    Latest Head to Head
    UEFA Euro
    30.06.24 Spain - Georgia 4:1
    19.11.23 Spain - Georgia 3:1
    08.09.23 Georgia - Spain 1:7
    FIFA World Cup
    05.09.21 Spain - Georgia 4:0
    28.03.21 Georgia - Spain 1:2
    Friendly
    07.06.16 Spain - Georgia 0:1
    FIFA World Cup
    15.10.13 Spain - Georgia 2:0