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Spain vs Georgia Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, October 11, 2025)

Match Info

World Cup - Qualification

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche)

Referee: Lukjancukas M. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Brazil	SporTV
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	UEFA TV
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	L'Equipe, L'Equipe Live Foot, New World TV
Georgia	1TV
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Maldives	Medianet
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	Sky Sport 4
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	ESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport 3, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	RTVE Play, TVE La 1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	Sport 24, Sport 24 At Sea


	Spain		Georgia

	1	X	2
	1.14	8.5	17
	1.16	7.9	16.5
	1.15	8.75	18
	1.15	7.89	18.01	Watch
	1.19	8.5	18	Watch
	1.25	6.2	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.23)	7.96 ↑ (6)	16.42 ↑ (11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spain
82%

Draw
12.1%

Georgia
5.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.9%

15.6%

8.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spain's performance.

Georgia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	6%	24%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Spain will win (votes: 34 - 70.8%). Georgia will win (votes: 11 - 22.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spain: 57.9% – 83.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Spain (votes: 10 - 43.5%). Georgia (votes: 12 - 52.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 - Spain (2.05) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DNB - Georgia (13.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH 0 - Georgia (14.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 36 Selected Experts predict this event. Spain (votes: 12 - 33.3%). Georgia (votes: 23 - 63.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Simon U. (C) Ath Bilbao 12. Porro P. Tottenham 3. Le Normand R. Atl. Madrid 4. Cubarsi P. Barcelona 22. Cucurella M. Chelsea 6. Merino M. Arsenal 18. Zubimendi M. Arsenal 20. Pedri Barcelona 11. Torres F. Barcelona 21. Oyarzabal M. Real Sociedad 7. Pino Y. Crystal Palace	1. Mamardashvili G. (G) Liverpool 2. Kakabadze O. Cracovia 4. Kashia G. (C) Slovan Bratislava 5. Goglichidze S. Udinese 13. Gocholeishvili G. Hamburger 17. Kiteishvili O. Sturm Graz 15. Mekvabishvili A. Univ. Craiova 6. Kochorashvili G. Sporting Lisbon 3. Dvali L. CSKA 1948 Sofia 22. Mikautadze G. Villarreal 7. Kvaratskhelia K. PSG
Substitutes
16. Baena A. Atl. Madrid 15. Barrios P. Atl. Madrid 2. de Frutos J. Rayo Vallecano 8. Garcia A. Bayer Leverkusen 17. Grimaldo A. Bayer Leverkusen 9. Iglesias B. Celta Vigo 14. Llorente M. Atl. Madrid 1. Raya D. (G) Arsenal 13. Remiro A. (G) Real Sociedad 10. Rodriguez J. Como 19. Samu FC Porto 5. Vivian D. Ath Bilbao	16. Azarovi I. Shakhtar 10. Davitashvili Z. St Etienne 20. Gagnidze N. Kolos Kovalivka 21. Gelashvili I. Panserraikos 23. Gugeshashvili L. (G) PAOK 9. Guliashvili G. FK Sarajevo 12. Kereselidze D. (G) Dila Gori 14. Kvernadze G. Frosinone 11. Lobjanidze S. Atlanta United 18. Mamuchashvili V. Torpedo Kutaisi 19. Tsitaishvili G. Metz 8. Zivzivadze B. Heidenheim
Coaches
de la Fuente L.	Sagnol W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Porro P. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Pino Y. ⚽, Le Normand R. (A),
29', Torres F. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 2 - 0, Oyarzabal M. ⚽,
64', Pino Y. ↓, Baena A. ↑,
65', Oyarzabal M. ↓, Iglesias B. ↑,
69', Kiteishvili O. ↓, Gagnidze N. ↑,
69', Mikautadze G. ↓, Kvernadze G. ↑,
69', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Davitashvili Z. ↑,
74', Pedri ↓, Barrios P. ↑,
75', Porro P. ↓, Llorente M. ↑,
80', Kakabadze O. ↓, Azarovi I. ↑,
81', Zubimendi M. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
86', Mekvabishvili A. ↓, Mamuchashvili V. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spain won 5.

In this match, Spain is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Spain won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:5. (average 2.9:0.6).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spain
FIFA World Cup
07.09.25	Turkey - Spain	0:6 ✺
04.09.25	Bulgaria - Spain	0:3 ✺
UEFA Nations League
08.06.25	Portugal - Spain	3:2 penalties ✺
05.06.25	Spain - France	5:4 ✺
23.03.25	Spain - Netherlands	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWW
- Georgia
FIFA World Cup
07.09.25	Georgia - Bulgaria	3:0 ✺
04.09.25	Georgia - Turkey	2:3 ✺
Friendly
08.06.25	Georgia - Cape Verde	1:1 ✺
05.06.25	Georgia - Faroe Islands	1:0 ✺
UEFA Nations League
23.03.25	Georgia - Armenia	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro
30.06.24	Spain - Georgia	4:1
19.11.23	Spain - Georgia	3:1
08.09.23	Georgia - Spain	1:7
FIFA World Cup
05.09.21	Spain - Georgia	4:0
28.03.21	Georgia - Spain	1:2
Friendly
07.06.16	Spain - Georgia	0:1
FIFA World Cup
15.10.13	Spain - Georgia	2:0

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Spain - Georgia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide