Match Info

Euro U21 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday

Location: City Arena Trnava (Trnava)

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 2, New World Sport App
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Armenia	Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Austria	Joyn
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Czech-republic	CT sport
Denmark	TV3, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Ruutu+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Joyn, Ran
Greece	ERT 3
Hungary	M4 Sport
India	FanCode, FanCode
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	RaiPlay
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Pro Arena, Voyo
Slovakia	Kanal A, STVR Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	RTVE Play, TVE La 1
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Channel 4
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1


	Spain U21		England U21

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	3.1
	2.15	3.3	3
	2.25	3.58	3.21
				Watch
	2.15	3.1	3
	2.28	3.55	3.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.23)	3.43 ↓ (3.45)	3.12 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spain U21
42.5%

Draw
27.4%

England U21
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

28.3%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spain U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

England U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Spain U21 - England U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Spain U21 will win (votes: 8 - 80%). England U21 will win (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spain U21: 55.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Spain U21 (votes: 6 - 60%). England U21 (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - England U21 (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - England U21 (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Spain U21 (votes: 6 - 50%). England U21 (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iturbe A. (G) Atl. Madrid 2. Pubill M. Almeria 5. Tarrega C. Valencia 3. Mosquera C. Valencia 22. Bueno H. Feyenoord 6. Guerra J. Valencia 8. Turrientes B. (C) Real Sociedad 16. Sanchez J. Sevilla 20. Moleiro A. Las Palmas 7. Lopez D. Valencia 9. Joseph M. Leeds	1. Beadle J. (G) Brighton 16. Hinshelwood J. Brighton 4. Quansah J. Liverpool 5. Cresswell C. Toulouse 2. Livramento V. Newcastle Utd 20. Scott A. Bournemouth 23. Morton T. Liverpool 11. Hutchinson O. Ipswich 19. Elliott H. Liverpool 18. Stansfield J. Birmingham 10. McAtee J. (C) Manchester City
Substitutes
23. Cunat P. (G) FC Cartagena SAD 19. Fernandez Jaen R. Espanyol 13. Fraga A. (G) Real Sociedad 12. Garcia A. Aston Villa 15. Herzog J. Las Palmas 14. Jauregizar M. Ath Bilbao 21. Marin P. Real Sociedad 4. Marin R. Napoli 11. Moro R. Valladolid 17. Rodriguez J. Betis 10. Torre P. Barcelona	8. Anderson E. Nottingham 3. Edwards R. Southampton 15. Egan-Riley C. Burnley 7. Fellows T. West Brom 14. Gray A. Tottenham 6. Hackney H. Middlesbrough 17. Iling Junior S. Middlesbrough 12. Norton-Cuffy B. Genoa 21. Nwaneri E. Arsenal 9. Rowe J. Marseille 22. Sharman-Lowe T. (G) Chelsea 13. Simkin T. (G) Stoke City
Coaches
Denia S.	Carsley L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, McAtee J. ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, Elliott H. ⚽, Quansah J. (A),
34', Morton T. 🟨,
39', 1 - 2, Guerra J. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Scott A. ↓, Anderson E. ↑,
52', Hutchinson O. ↓, Rowe J. ↑,
57', Turrientes B. ↓, Moro R. ↑,
57', Sanchez J. ↓, Jauregizar M. ↑,
70', Lopez D. ↓, Fernandez Jaen R. ↑,
71', Joseph M. ↓, Torre P. ↑,
71', Elliott H. ↓, Norton-Cuffy B. ↑,
71', McAtee J. ↓, Hackney H. ↑,
78', Moleiro A. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
81', Stansfield J. ↓, Nwaneri E. ↑,
86', Rowe J. 🟨,
90+1', Denia S. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 3, Anderson E. (Pen),

Preview

Spain U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Spain U21 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Spain U21 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spain U21
UEFA Euro U21
17.06.25	Spain U21 - Italy U21	1:1 ✺
14.06.25	Spain U21 - Romania U21	2:1 ✺
11.06.25	Slovakia U21 - Spain U21	2:3 ✺
Friendly
06.06.25	Spain U21 - Ukraine U21	0:1 ✺
25.03.25	Germany U21 - Spain U21	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TWWLL
- England U21
UEFA Euro U21
18.06.25	England U21 - Germany U21	1:2 ✺
15.06.25	England U21 - Slovenia U21	0:0 ✺
12.06.25	Czech Republic U21 - England U21	1:3 ✺
Friendly
24.03.25	England U21 - Portugal U21	4:2 ✺
21.03.25	France U21 - England U21	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
15.11.24	Spain U21 - England U21	0:0
UEFA Euro U21
08.07.23	England U21 - Spain U21	1:0

Spain U21 - England U21: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide