The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spakenburg 26.2%
Draw 24.4%
HHC Hardenberg 49.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.9%
24.8%
42.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33%
24.9%
42.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spakenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spakenburg's form might have worsened.
HHC Hardenberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting HHC Hardenberg's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spakenburg than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spakenburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for HHC Hardenberg than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for HHC Hardenberg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Spakenburg - HHC Hardenberg Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Spakenburg (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Spakenburg (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. van Dorp K. (G) 4. Claver C. 3. Apau M. 6. da Fonseca G. 5. Green D. 44. Guiting J. 14. Wesdorp K. 22. van Mil K. 81. Linthorst T. 9. van der Linden F. (C) 11. Junte R.
1. Maats J. (G) 3. Fatima S. 20. Bouws D. 8. Olde Weghuis T. 2. Sopacua T. (C) 7. van Doorm S. 6. Eikelboom H. 22. ten Brinke N. 11. Schraven J. 9. Zwikstra G. 23. Reinders T.
Substitutes
25. den Haan J. 7. El Azzouti A. 1. Heus M. (G) 16. Kok O. 10. Kunst D. 8. van Huffel S. 15. van Lopik H.
18. Brzezowski J. 15. de Lange T. 14. Deuling S. 24. Esink D. (G) 19. Kemna J. 10. Spit L. 4. Steenvoorden M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, ten Brinke N. ⚽, Schraven J. (A),
27', 0 - 2, Schraven J. ⚽, Bouws D. (A),
35', van der Linden F. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 2, van Mil K. ⚽, Green D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', van der Linden F. ↓, El Azzouti A. ↑,
51', El Azzouti A. 🟨,
51', 🟨,
51', Fatima S. 🟨,
52', 2 - 2, El Azzouti A. ⚽,
55', Olde Weghuis T. ↓, Steenvoorden M. ↑,
67', Junte R. ↓, Kunst D. ↑,
67', van Doorm S. ↓, Spit L. ↑,
67', ten Brinke N. ↓, Deuling S. ↑,
74', da Fonseca G. 🟨,
75', da Fonseca G. ↓, den Haan J. ↑,
75', Wesdorp K. ↓, van Huffel S. ↑,
79', Linthorst T. ↓, van Lopik H. ↑,
83', Sopacua T. ↓, Kemna J. ↑,
83', Bouws D. ↓, de Lange T. ↑,
84', de Lange T. 🟨,
86', 2 - 3, Spit L. ⚽,
90', Deuling S. 🟨,
90+5', Bouws D. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 1).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spakenburg won 2.
Spakenburg is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
HHC is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Spakenburg won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:28. (average 1.2:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Spakenburg won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
HHC Hardenberg - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 42.35%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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van Dorp K. (G) 
Green D. 
Brzezowski J. 
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