Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 12

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Sparta Katowice		Pniówek Pawłowice

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	4.05	4.55
	1.64	3.95	4.45
	1.72	3.66	4.31	Watch
	1.57	4.1	4.6	Watch
	1.58	4.3	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.57)	4.01 ↓ (4.08)	4.5 ↓ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sparta Katowice
56.8%

Draw
22.8%

Pniówek Pawłowice
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

22.3%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

21.1%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta Katowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Pniówek Pawłowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Katowice than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pniówek Pawłowice than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Sparta Katowice - Pniówek Pawłowice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Baranowicz O. ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, Mazurek M. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 🟥,
58', 2 - 2, ⚽,
70', 3 - 2, Zambrano M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sparta Katowice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sparta Katowice is considered a favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sparta Katowice
Polish Division 3 - Group III
04.10.25	Sparta Katowice - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Sparta Katowice	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Sparta Katowice - Kluczbork	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Sparta Katowice	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Sparta Katowice - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLWWT
- GKS Pniówek Pawłowice
Polish Division 3 - Group III
04.10.25	Pniówek Pawłowice - Kluczbork	1:3 ✺
26.09.25	Polonia Nysa - Pniówek Pawłowice	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Pniówek Pawłowice - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	Skra Częstochowa - Pniówek Pawłowice	0:0 ✺
06.09.25	Pniówek Pawłowice - Carina Gubin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LTWTL

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