Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 1

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: KGHM Zaglebie Arena (Lubin)


	Zagłębie 2 Lubin		Sparta Katowice

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.50	2.60
	2.15	3.3	2.92
	2.24	3.36	2.8
	2.14	3.47	2.97	Watch
	2.16	3.3	2.75
	2.17	3.72	2.85	Watch
	2.49	3.41	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.49)	3.44 ↑ (3.41)	2.74 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie 2 Lubin
40.7%

Draw
26.3%

Sparta Katowice
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

26%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie 2 Lubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zagłębie 2 Lubin's performance.

Sparta Katowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sparta Katowice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Sparta Katowice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 1 - 0, Ziolkowski M. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Zagłębie 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	BKS Sparta Katowice	11	7	3	1	19:7	12	24
2	Zaglebie II	11	6	5	0	23:13	10	23

Last Results with these Odds

Zagłębie 2 Lubin - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 35.55%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie 2 Lubin
Club Friendly
15.07.26	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Odra Bytom Odrzański	0:1 ✺
11.07.26	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	0:4 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group III
30.05.26	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	3:2 ✺
22.05.26	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Miedź Legnica 2	1:3 ✺
15.05.26	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLW
- Sparta Katowice
Club Friendly
08.07.26	GKS Tychy - Sparta Katowice	2:2 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group III
24.05.26	Polonia Nysa - Sparta Katowice	2:3 ✺
16.05.26	Sparta Katowice - Skra Częstochowa	1:0 ✺
13.05.26	Starowice Dolne - Sparta Katowice	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Sparta Katowice - Słowianin Wolibórz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
21.11.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Sparta Katowice	2:0
02.08.25	Sparta Katowice - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	3:3

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