The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sparta Prague U19 44.9%
Draw 22.2%
Mladá Boleslav U19 32.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.1%
23%
31.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.5%
23.2%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sparta Prague U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Mladá Boleslav U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Prague U19 than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mladá Boleslav U19 than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Heisig P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 11th and 2nd).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sparta U19 won 3.
Sparta U19 is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Mladá Boleslav U19 is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Mladá Boleslav U19 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Sparta U19 is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Sparta U19 has recorded 9 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 40:17 (averaging 2.4:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sparta U19 against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 25:5 goals (averaging 2.8:0.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Pts
6
Mlada Boleslav U19
12
6
2
4
24:19
20
8
Sparta Prague U19
11
5
1
5
23:19
16
Last Results with these Odds
Sparta Prague U19 - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.08%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.