Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 - Round 27

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Spartak 2 Moscow		Zvezda St. Petersburg

	1	X	2
	1.94	3.46	3.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (1.97)	3.46 ↓ (3.7)	3.28 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak 2 Moscow
46.5%

Draw
26.1%

Zvezda St. Petersburg
27.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.7%

24.9%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

22%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak 2 Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Zvezda St. Petersburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak 2 Moscow than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spartak 2 Moscow that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zvezda St. Petersburg than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Spartak 2 Moscow - Zvezda St. Petersburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
22', Maksimov E. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Vislevskiy D. ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, Aliev N. ⚽,
43', 0 - 3, Angutaev R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', 1 - 3, Chushkin Z. ⚽,
73', 2 - 3, Solopov V. ⚽,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 12th and 13th).

In recent outings, Spartak 2 M has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Zvezda SP has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Zvezda SP may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Zvezda SP has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Spartak 2 M is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Spartak 2 M has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 14:7 (averaging 2.8:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Spartak 2 M against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 7:1 goals (averaging 3.5:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Zvezda St. Peterburg	27	7	9	11	33:47	-14	30
11	Spartak Moscow 2	27	7	7	13	28:38	-10	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak 2 Moscow
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
17.09.26	Dynamo Vologda - Spartak 2 Moscow	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Spartak 2 Moscow - Baltika 2	2:3 ✺
06.09.26	Yenisey 2 - Spartak 2 Moscow	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Spartak 2 Moscow - Chertanovo	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Kosmos Dolgoprudny - Spartak 2 Moscow	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TLWTL
- Zvezda St. Petersburg
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
02.10.26	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Volga Tver	1:8 ✺
26.09.26	Iskra Smolensk - Zvezda St. Petersburg	3:1 ✺
18.09.26	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Murom	0:3 ✺
29.08.26	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Torpedo Vladimir	2:3 ✺
16.08.26	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Dynamo Vologda	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
23.06.26	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Spartak 2 Moscow	2:3
26.10.25	Spartak 2 Moscow - Zvezda St. Petersburg	1:1
06.07.25	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Spartak 2 Moscow	3:0
12.10.24	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Spartak 2 Moscow	1:4
25.06.24	Spartak 2 Moscow - Zvezda St. Petersburg	6:0

Spartak 2 Moscow - Zvezda St. Petersburg