Match Info
FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 - Round 25Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday
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Iskra Smolensk |
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Zvezda St. Petersburg |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.5 |
3.1 |
2.5 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↓
(2.55) |
3.1 ↓
(3.2) |
2.5 ↓
(2.55) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 12.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Iskra Smolensk
35.6% | Draw
28.7% | Zvezda St. Petersburg
35.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Iskra Smolensk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Zvezda St. Petersburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iskra Smolensk than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zvezda St. Petersburg than the current prediction. (-0.6%)Iskra Smolensk - Zvezda St. Petersburg Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Sokolov V. ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 0, Sokolov V. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', 2 - 1, Aliev N. ⚽,
- 81', 3 - 1, Radzevsky A. ⚽,
- 90+5', 🟥,
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 13th and 12th).Iskra has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).Zvezda SP is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).Zvezda SP could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.Recently, Zvezda SP has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures. The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Iskra has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 11 | Iskra Smolensk | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24:47 | -23 | 24 |
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| 13 | Zvezda St. Peterburg | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 28:44 | -16 | 24 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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