The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spartak Nalchik 47%
Draw 27%
Astrakhan 26%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.3%
26.5%
25.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.6%
26.9%
25.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Nalchik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Astrakhan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Nalchik than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astrakhan than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Spartak Nalchik - Astrakhan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
63', 1 - 0, Tutov I. ⚽,
76', 2 - 0, Tlupov I. ⚽,
86', 2 - 1, Polushin M. ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 9th and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak N won 1.
Spartak N is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Astrakhan has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Both teams have recently been through a demanding run of away matches.
Spartak N is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Spartak N has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:11 (averaging 1.6:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Spartak N against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 10:7 goals (averaging 1.7:1.2 per game).