The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spartak Nalchik 18.9%
Draw 23.1%
Rostov 2 58%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.6%
27.8%
49.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.1%
27.1%
50.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Nalchik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Rostov 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rostov 2's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Nalchik than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov 2 than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rostov 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Kumykov A. (G) 91. Bliev E. 17. Cherkesov A. 22. Goguzokov A. 13. Kadykoev K. 10. Khachirov A. 55. Kumyshev A. 9. Lysenko S. 7. Mashukov K. 77. Sabanchiev K. 4. Zhaboev I.
93. Ryazanov D. (G) 46. Asenchukov R. 73. Aznaurov I. 86. Kashtan N. 52. Kupriyanov N. 41. Maksetsov A. 53. Moiseev K. 63. Shevchenko D. 81. Tonevitskiy E. 47. Veselkov I. 97. Zubenko I.
Substitutes
8. Daliev D. 40. Dzugulov T. 1. Karkaev K. (G) 50. Keshtov A. 23. Khizriev G. 88. Luev E. 21. Mizaushev M. 14. Shamurzaev I.
76. Alimov M. 54. Amosov A. 65. Andrianov N. 70. Dyachkov A. (G) 75. Khromov D. 85. Martyanov M. 79. Nguyen V. 39. Radchenko M. 72. Rassadin V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Mashukov K. 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Aznaurov I. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Kashtan N. ↓, Khromov D. ↑,
57', Asenchukov R. ↓, Alimov M. ↑,
65', Kumyshev A. ↓, Luev E. ↑,
74', Zubenko I. ↓, Amosov A. ↑,
78', 0 - 2, Alimov M. ⚽,
84', Veselkov I. ↓, Radchenko M. ↑,
84', Moiseev K. ↓, Rassadin V. ↑,
85', 🟨,
85', Cherkesov A. ↓, Mizaushev M. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone FNL 2 ~ Division B ~ Group 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division B ~ Group 1 (Promotion Group: )).
Spartak N is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Rostov 2 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Rostov 2 is seen as the favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Spartak N won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
Including home match between the teams, Spartak N won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.