FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Relegation Group - Round 4
Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday
Spartak Nalchik
Legion Makhachkala
1
X
2
1.88
3.18
3.96
1.83
3.14
3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)
1.86 ↓ (2.54)
3.16 ↑ (2.99)
3.86 ↑ (2.62)
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spartak Nalchik 48.4%
Draw 28.4%
Legion Makhachkala 23.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.5%
30.1%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.5%
28.4%
36.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Nalchik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spartak Nalchik's performance.
Legion Makhachkala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Legion Makhachkala might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Nalchik than the current prediction. (-14.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spartak Nalchik that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legion Makhachkala than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Legion Makhachkala could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Spartak Nalchik - Legion Makhachkala Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Kumykov A. (G) 77. Balkizov R. 91. Bliev E. 13. Kadykoev K. 10. Khachirov A. 5. Khatsukov A. 9. Lysenko S. 6. Pekov I. 3. Piriev M. 8. Sarbashev D. 4. Zhaboev I.
1. Davudov A. (G) 5. Eremin A. 6. Gamzatov B. 3. Gasanov S. 17. Gurov K. 11. Ibragimov M. 2. Ipaev D. 21. Kurbanaliev A. 18. Matvienko Y. 19. Pereletov K. 28. Tokaev A.
Substitutes
90. Bolotokov K. 17. Cherkesov A. 40. Dzugulov T. 1. Karkaev K. (G) 44. Kenzhev M. 50. Keshtov A. 55. Kumyshev A. 7. Mashukov K. 11. Tlupov I.
15. Alim L. 27. Magomedov A. 61. Magomedov I. 77. Pirmagomedov M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
1', Gurov K. 🟨,
26', Pereletov K. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Lysenko S. ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, Lysenko S. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Gurov K. ↓, Alim L. ↑,
46', Gamzatov B. ↓, Pirmagomedov M. ↑,
66', Khachirov A. ↓, Tlupov I. ↑,
73', 3 - 0, Tlupov I. ⚽,
77', Sarbashev D. ↓, Kenzhev M. ↑,
77', Khatsukov A. ↓, Dzugulov T. ↑,
77', Ipaev D. ↓, Magomedov A. ↑,
83', 4 - 0, Tlupov I. ⚽,
84', Pekov I. ↓, Bolotokov K. ↑,
84', Lysenko S. ↓, Cherkesov A. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak N won 0.
Spartak N has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Legion has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Spartak N is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Spartak N won 2 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:20. (average 0.6:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Spartak N won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.5:1).
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Kumykov A. (G) 
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