Match Info

BULGARIA: Vtora liga - Round 20

Date: 4 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: Gradski stadion Lovech (Loveč)


	Lovech		CSKA Sofia II

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.1	1.85
	5.12	3.12	1.7
	5.35	3.22	1.69	Watch
	3.7	3	1.91
	4.94	3.18	1.72	Watch
	4.2	3.1	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.59 ↑ (3.17)	3.12 ↑ (3)	1.79 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lovech
19.9%

Draw
29.2%

CSKA Sofia II
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

30.3%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

30%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lovech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lovech's form might have worsened.

CSKA Sofia II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CSKA Sofia II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lovech than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lovech, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA Sofia II than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CSKA Sofia II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Lovech - CSKA Sofia II Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. CSKA Sofia II will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Nedelchev I. (G) 10. Banev M. 9. Dimitrov G. 24. Dimitrov T. 8. Ignatov E. 16. Ivanov I. (C) 18. Kepov P. 19. Nankov V. 6. Stefkov B. 26. Valkov K. 5. Yankov N.	12. Orlinov M. (C) 13. Borisov N. 9. Bornosuzov Y. 21. Buchkov A. 4. Chatov S. 8. Iliev Y. 5. Marinov R. 11. Oliver Vasilev V. 7. Papazov M. 20. Tasev I. 10. Zhivkov R.
Substitutes
17. Bucci K. 22. Georgiev D. 21. Ivanov S. 33. Karamishev T. 14. Lozanov Y. 99. Zhekov D. (G)	17. Apostolov T. 6. Hristov D. 3. Ivanov L. 19. Kozhuharov A. 15. Sotirov M. 1. Zagorski B. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 🟨,
38', 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, ⚽,
53', 🟨,
54', 🟨,
55', 🟨,
68', 🟨,
69', 1 - 2, ⚽,
70', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
86', 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 10).

Lovech has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches CSKA Sofia II is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

CSKA Sofia II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

CSKA Sofia II will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lovech won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lovech
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
30.11.24	Lovech - Fratria	0:2 ✺
23.11.24	Sportist Svoge - Lovech	0:0 ✺
16.11.24	Lovech - Dobrudzha Dobrich	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Lovech	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Dunav Ruse - Lovech	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLLL
- CSKA Sofia II
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
01.12.24	Dunav Ruse - CSKA Sofia II	1:1 ✺
25.11.24	CSKA Sofia II - CSKA 1948 Sofia II	4:0 ✺
17.11.24	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - CSKA Sofia II	1:1 ✺
11.11.24	CSKA Sofia II - Marek Dupnitsa	1:2 ✺
03.11.24	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - CSKA Sofia II	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
22.07.24	CSKA Sofia II - Lovech	0:1

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