Match Info

Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 12

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Gradski stadion (Subotica)

Referee: Stojanovic A. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Serbia	Arena Sport 6


	Spartak Subotica		Radnički Niš

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.25	2.92
	2.42	3.4	2.85
	1.08	9.15	26.96	Watch
	2.27	3.3	2.97	Watch
	2.37	3.45	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.5)	4.51 ↑ (3.25)	7.73 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Subotica
57.8%

Draw
26.6%

Radnički Niš
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

29.2%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

29.5%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Subotica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spartak Subotica's performance.

Radnički Niš has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Radnički Niš might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Subotica than the current prediction. (-20.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spartak Subotica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radnički Niš than the current prediction. (+17.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Radnički Niš could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Spartak Subotica - Radnički Niš Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Spartak Subotica will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Radnički Niš will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spartak Subotica: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Spartak Subotica (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dulic M. (G) 28. Bilingi Y. 19. Milunovic N. (C) 15. Subotic L. 2. Sekulic B. 27. Leo Antonio 99. Ramirez B. 22. Cejic U. 9. Lincoln 20. Osei K. B. 70. Tomovic S.	98. Manojlovic S. (G) 2. Mijailovic M. 16. Micevic N. 15. Pavlovic D. 11. Ashkovski S. 45. Nisic J. 22. Milosavljevic R. (C) 70. Nikolic S. 20. Sreckovic N. 7. Bosic R. 97. Spasic M.
Substitutes
25. Abdul K. S. 6. Ebuka 14. Jocic V. 49. Krsmanovic N. 44. Mehmedovic E. 11. Pavlovic A. 66. Ruben E. 7. Stojanovic S. 50. Tasic N. 17. Trajkovic A. 1. Vulic A. (G)	8. Belakovic N. 44. Curuvija N. (G) 24. Ilic M. 21. Ilic V. 89. Izderic L. 9. Kone 12. Mboup B. 71. Petrovic D. 30. Radonjic M. 94. Stanivukovic D. (G)
Coaches
Tutoric D.	Sivic T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Osei K. B. ⚽, Leo Antonio (A),
15', 2 - 0, Tomovic S. ⚽,
20', Osei K. B. ↓, Stojanovic S. ↑,
38', Leo Antonio 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Micevic N. ↓, Yamkam M. ↑,
46', Sreckovic N. ↓, Ilic V. ↑,
46', Ashkovski S. ↓, Ilic M. ↑,
52', Bosic R. (Pen),
64', Ramirez B. 🟨,
65', Mijailovic M. ↓, Belakovic N. ↑,
75', Cejic U. 🟨,
76', Lincoln ↓, Krsmanovic N. ↑,
76', Cejic U. ↓, Pavlovic A. ↑,
77', Nisic J. ↓, Kone ↑,
84', Ramirez B. ↓, Ebuka ↑,
84', Tomovic S. ↓, Mehmedovic E. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak Subotica won 2.

Spartak Subotica has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Radnički Niš has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Spartak Subotica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Spartak Subotica won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:25. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Spartak Subotica won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.5:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Radnički Niš - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 32.76%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Subotica
Serbian Superliga
05.10.25	IMT Novi Beograd - Spartak Subotica	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Spartak Subotica - Napredak Kruševac	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Radnički 1923 - Spartak Subotica	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Spartak Subotica - Partizan	2:5 ✺
31.08.25	Železničar Pančevo - Spartak Subotica	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLLT
- Radnički Niš
Serbian Superliga
03.10.25	Radnički Niš - Radnik Surdulica	4:2 ✺
27.09.25	Javor Ivanjica - Radnički Niš	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	IMT Novi Beograd - Radnički Niš	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Radnički Niš - Napredak Kruševac	3:0 ✺
31.08.25	Radnički 1923 - Radnički Niš	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
11.05.25	Spartak Subotica - Radnički Niš	1:0
21.02.25	Spartak Subotica - Radnički Niš	1:1
22.09.24	Radnički Niš - Spartak Subotica	3:2
07.05.24	Spartak Subotica - Radnički Niš	3:1
03.04.24	Spartak Subotica - Radnički Niš	1:2
28.10.23	Radnički Niš - Spartak Subotica	1:1
22.05.23	Radnički Niš - Spartak Subotica	0:1

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