Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 July 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: City Arena Trnava (Trnava) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Putros S. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Portugal	19:30	Canal 11
Slovakia	20:30	STVR2


	Spartak Trnava		Sarajevo

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.25	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.25
	2.2	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.25	3.15	3.5
	2.21	3.13	3.43	Watch
	2.17	3.28	3.34	Watch
	2.23	3.25	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.92)	3.17 ↓ (3.35)	3.35 ↓ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Trnava
42.6%

Draw
29.5%

Sarajevo
27.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48%

27.5%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.1%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Trnava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spartak Trnava's form might have worsened.

Sarajevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Trnava than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spartak Trnava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarajevo than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	22.7%	4.5%

Spartak Trnava - Sarajevo Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Trnava will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Sarajevo will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Trnava: 54.1% – 91.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Frelih Z. (G) 4. Holik L. 33. Twardzik F. 26. Kosa S. 29. Mikovic M. 25. Bainovic F. 6. Prochazka R. (C) 80. Zeljkovic A. 11. Azango P. 16. Ahl H. 57. Duris M.	42. Rockov E. (G) 22. Beganovic A. 33. Celik N. 16. Jovic F. 3. Durakovic E. 29. Bubanja V. 14. Djordjevic A. 8. Mehmedovic E. 17. Guliashvili G. 9. Renan Oliveira (C) 11. Kyeremeh F.
Substitutes
22. Bukovsky D. 8. Corryn M. 21. Karhan P. 5. Kompan M. 17. Paur J. 7. Pich R. 31. Rusov D. (G) 20. Trello F. 13. Ujlaky M. 72. Vantruba M. (G)	26. Alajmovic E. 32. Andjusic N. 7. Catakovic H. 27. Hamzic M. 18. Julardzija E. 77. Kupresak M. 5. Matanovic M. 4. Mujkic N. 19. Ristic A. 39. Rogic L. (G) 28. Unusic B.
Coaches
Gasparik M.	Zekic Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Duris M. ⚽, Mikovic M. (A),
28', Kosa S. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Duris M. ⚽, Ahl H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Durakovic E. ↓, Kupresak M. ↑,
46', Mehmedovic E. ↓, Catakovic H. ↑,
46', Jovic F. 🟨,
66', Ahl H. ↓, Ujlaky M. ↑,
66', Azango P. ↓, Paur J. ↑,
66', Djordjevic A. ↓, Julardzija E. ↑,
66', Renan Oliveira ↓, Andjusic N. ↑,
75', Duris M. ↓, Pich R. ↑,
80', Pich R. 🟨,
86', Prochazka R. ↓, Karhan P. ↑,
86', Bainovic F. ↓, Corryn M. ↑,
90', Kyeremeh F. ↓, Hamzic M. ↑,
90+2', Julardzija E. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 0, Karhan P. ⚽, Pich R. (A),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Sarajevo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Trnava will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Trnava won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Trnava
Slovak Superliga
28.07.24	Spartak Trnava - Trenčín	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Sarajevo - Spartak Trnava	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.07.24	Spartak Trnava - Aston Villa	0:3 ✺
13.07.24	Hartberg - Spartak Trnava	1:1 ✺
05.07.24	Sparta Prague - Spartak Trnava	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTLTL
- FK Sarajevo
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Sarajevo - Spartak Trnava	0:0 ✺
18.07.24	Sarajevo - Aktobe	3:3 penalties ✺
11.07.24	Aktobe - Sarajevo	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.07.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - Sarajevo	1:0 ✺
29.06.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - Sarajevo	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Sarajevo - Spartak Trnava	0:0

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