The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spartak Trnava 66.8%
Draw 19.8%
Trenčín 13.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.1%
22%
16.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.8%
21.4%
16.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Trnava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spartak Trnava's performance.
Trenčín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Trnava than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trenčín than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Spartak Trnava - Trenčín Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Frelih Z. (G) 52. Sabo E. 2. Nwadike P. 15. Stojsavljevic L. 4. Holik L. 6. Prochazka R. (C) 8. Moistsrapishvili G. 3. Jureskin R. 18. Gong H. 12. Taiwo A. 19. Kudlicka T.
74. Hudok A. (G) 25. Skovajsa L. 33. Krizan R. 29. Bessile L. (C) 14. Holubek J. 8. Yakubu A. 9. Kasana F. 17. Khan M. 11. Mathurin R. 99. Doesburg P. 80. Adamkovic D.
Substitutes
11. Azango P. 57. Duris M. 21. Karhan P. 30. Khorkheli L. 24. Kostrna K. 29. Mikovic M. 7. Skrbo S. 23. Twardzik F. 72. Vantruba M. (G)
89. Bazdaric A. 12. Brandis N. 7. Ferdinan M. 24. Guibero R. 91. Jurak M. (G) 27. Kam D. 19. Kranthove J. 90. Pavek H. 70. Sabljic F.
Coaches
Scasny M.
Moniz R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Taiwo A. ⚽, Sabo E. (A),
14', 2 - 0, Kasana F. (Own goal),
26', Jureskin R. 🟨,
42', Skovajsa L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Adamkovic D. ↓, Kam D. ↑,
46', Doesburg P. ↓, Sabljic F. ↑,
53', 3 - 0, Taiwo A. ⚽, Gong H. (A),
58', Holubek J. ↓, Brandis N. ↑,
58', Skovajsa L. ↓, Pavek H. ↑,
66', 4 - 0, Taiwo A. ⚽,
67', Jureskin R. ↓, Mikovic M. ↑,
67', Kudlicka T. ↓, Azango P. ↑,
72', Mathurin R. ↓, Ferdinan M. ↑,
73', Ferdinan M. 🟨,
77', Taiwo A. ↓, Khorkheli L. ↑,
77', Gong H. ↓, Duris M. ↑,
87', Moistsrapishvili G. ↓, Karhan P. ↑,
88', Karhan P. 🟨,
90+1', Sabo E. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Nike liga (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Nike liga (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trnava won 3.
In recent matches, Trnava has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Trenčín's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Trenčín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Trnava is the obvious favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Trnava won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:18. (average 1.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Trnava won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:6. (average 1.5:0.5).