Match Info

Nike liga - Championship Group - Round 1

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion pod Dubnom (MSK Zilina) (Žilina)

Referee: Ruc M. (Svk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Dajto
World	Onefootball


	Žilina		Spartak Trnava

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.35	2.98
	2.22	3.42	3.29
	2.14	3.58	3.15	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3
	2.24	3.48	2.98	Watch
	2.45	3.35	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.25)	3.38 ↓ (3.64)	3.01 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žilina
41.6%

Draw
27.5%

Spartak Trnava
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

25.7%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

24.9%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žilina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Spartak Trnava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žilina than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Trnava than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	18.2%	18.2%

Žilina - Spartak Trnava Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Žilina will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Trnava will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Žilina: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Žilina (votes: 1 - 50%). Trnava (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Trnava (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Žilina (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Trnava (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Badzgon J. (G) 33. Paliscak T. 28. Narimanidze A. 2. Okal M. 21. Hranica T. 11. Bzdyl F. 66. Kacer M. (C) 20. Bari K. 23. Fasko M. 95. Roginic M. 8. Szantho R.	72. Vantruba M. (G) 4. Holik L. 52. Sabo E. 15. Stojsavljevic L. 3. Jureskin R. 29. Mikovic M. (C) 19. Kudlicka T. 30. Khorkheli L. 8. Moistsrapishvili G. 91. Lausic M. 93. Metsoko I.
Substitutes
6. Adang X. 24. Datko S. 10. Florea A. 16. Ilko P. 39. Julis L. 7. Kosa F. 34. Prokop L. 29. Svacek D. (G) 14. Svoboda M.	11. Azango P. 57. Duris M. 1. Frelih Z. (G) 18. Gong H. 21. Karhan P. 6. Prochazka R. 12. Taiwo A. 41. Vasil P. (G)
Coaches
Stano P.	Munoz A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Khorkheli L. ⚽, Lausic M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Sabo E. 🟨,
64', Kacer M. ↓, Datko S. ↑,
64', Szantho R. ↓, Ilko P. ↑,
69', Moistsrapishvili G. ↓, Prochazka R. ↑,
71', Vantruba M. 🟨,
73', Fasko M. ↓, Florea A. ↑,
73', Hranica T. ↓, Kosa F. ↑,
78', Bari K. ↓, Prokop L. ↑,
79', Khorkheli L. ↓, Duris M. ↑,
79', Kudlicka T. ↓, Taiwo A. ↑,
90+2', Lausic M. ↓, Karhan P. ↑,
90+2', Metsoko I. ↓, Gong H. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Nike liga (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Nike liga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žilina won 2.

Žilina is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Trnava is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Žilina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Žilina won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:24. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Žilina won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.2:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Zilina	9	6	2	1	23:17	6	20
3	Trnava	9	5	3	1	21:10	11	18

Last Results with these Odds

Žilina - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.54%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MSK Žilina
Slovak Superliga
28.02.26	Žilina - DAC Dunajská Streda	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	MFK Košice - Žilina	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Spartak Trnava - Žilina	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Žilina - Komárno	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
31.01.26	Žilina - Opava	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTTWW
- Spartak Trnava
Slovak Cup
03.03.26	Podbrezová - Spartak Trnava	4:1 ✺
Slovak Superliga
28.02.26	Slovan Bratislava - Spartak Trnava	4:0 ✺
21.02.26	Spartak Trnava - Podbrezová	0:5 ✺
Slovak Cup
18.02.26	Spartak Trnava - Slovan Bratislava	2:1 penalties ✺
Slovak Superliga
15.02.26	Spartak Trnava - Žilina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Slovak Superliga
15.02.26	Spartak Trnava - Žilina	0:0
28.09.25	Žilina - Spartak Trnava	2:2
27.04.25	Žilina - Spartak Trnava	2:1
30.03.25	Spartak Trnava - Žilina	2:4
Slovak Cup
11.03.25	Žilina - Spartak Trnava	0:2
Slovak Superliga
23.11.24	Žilina - Spartak Trnava	3:1
18.08.24	Spartak Trnava - Žilina	0:0

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