Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 8 August 2024, Thursday

Location: City Arena Trnava (Trnava)

Referee: Karabaev S. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Premium 4
Slovakia	STVR2


	Spartak Trnava		Wisła Kraków

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.33	5.5	Watch
	1.49	4.1	5.5
	1.5	4.2	6	Watch
	1.5	4.2	6.27
	1.52	4.29	5.77
	1.51	4.4	6.04	Watch
	1.5	4.2	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.76)	4.25 ↑ (3.75)	5.87 ↑ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Spartak Trnava
62.2%

Draw
22%

Wisła Kraków
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

24.6%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

24.6%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Trnava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spartak Trnava's performance.

Wisła Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wisła Kraków might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Trnava than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spartak Trnava that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Kraków than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wisła Kraków could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.5%	3.3%	8.2%

Spartak Trnava - Wisła Kraków Predictions

Users Predictions: Spartak Trnava will win (54 of 60 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.41% – 97.59%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Frelih Z. (G) 4. Holik L. 13. Ujlaky M. 26. Kosa S. 29. Mikovic M. (C) 16. Ahl H. 25. Bainovic F. 80. Zeljkovic A. 11. Azango P. 17. Paur J. 57. Duris M.	1. Broda K. (G) 4. Mikulec R. 6. Uryga A. (C) 97. Biedrzycki W. 30. Kiakos G. 8. Carbo M. 21. Gogol P. 77. Baena Perez A. 19. Sukiennicki O. 13. Kiss T. 9. Rodado A.
Substitutes
22. Bukovsky D. 23. Daniel E. 21. Karhan P. 5. Kompan M. 14. Kratochvil M. 27. Kubista V. 7. Pich R. 6. Prochazka R. 31. Rusov D. (G) 52. Sabo E. 20. Trello F. 72. Vantruba M. (G)	10. Almeida Duarte F. F. P. 31. Chichkan A. (G) 20. Dziedzic K. 25. Jaroch B. 50. Kutwa M. 28. Letkiewicz P. (G) 11. Mlynski M. 75. Skrobanski K. 22. Starzynski P. 54. Wisniewski K. 99. Zwolinski L.
Coaches
Gasparik M.	Moskal K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Bainovic F. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Rodado A. ⚽, Baena Perez A. (A),
42', Sukiennicki O. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Ahl H. ↓, Pich R. ↑,
46', Paur J. ↓, Prochazka R. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Duris M. ⚽,
58', Sukiennicki O. ↓, Zwolinski L. ↑,
60', 2 - 1, Azango P. ⚽,
68', 3 - 1, Duris M. ⚽, Mikovic M. (A),
76', Kiakos G. ↓, Jaroch B. ↑,
76', Baena Perez A. ↓, Almeida Duarte F. F. P. ↑,
77', Bainovic F. ↓, Kratochvil M. ↑,
85', Kiss T. ↓, Starzynski P. ↑,
85', Gogol P. ↓, Kutwa M. ↑,
86', Azango P. ↓, Daniel E. ↑,
90+4', Duris M. ↓, Kubista V. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Trnava is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wisła is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wisła could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Trnava is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Trnava won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Trnava
Slovak Superliga
04.08.24	Zemplín Michalovce - Spartak Trnava	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.24	Spartak Trnava - Sarajevo	3:0 ✺
Slovak Superliga
28.07.24	Spartak Trnava - Trenčín	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Sarajevo - Spartak Trnava	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.07.24	Spartak Trnava - Aston Villa	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TWTTL
- Wisła Kraków
Polish Division 1
04.08.24	Znicz Pruszków - Wisła Kraków	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
01.08.24	Rapid Wien - Wisła Kraków	6:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
28.07.24	Wisła Kraków - Polonia Warsaw	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.07.24	Wisła Kraków - Rapid Wien	1:2 ✺
18.07.24	Llapi - Wisła Kraków	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
23.01.21	Wisła Kraków - Spartak Trnava	Canceled

Upcoming Matches