Match Info

Division 1 - Round 16

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana (Kraków)

Referee: Piszczelok M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Wisła Kraków		Polonia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.75	6.25
	1.36	4.95	6.9	Watch
	1.37	5.4	7.02
	1.36	4.65	6.69
	1.38	4.7	6.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 (1.37)	4.89 ↓ (4.93)	6.62 ↑ (6.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Kraków
67.2%

Draw
18.8%

Polonia Warsaw
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

18.7%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

17.6%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Kraków than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Wisła Kraków - Polonia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Wisła will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Polonia will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wisła: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH +1 - Polonia (2.86) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Polonia (2.82) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +1 - Polonia (2.23) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Polonia Warsaw will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Polonia (votes: 14 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Letkiewicz P. (G) 34. Giger R. 97. Biedrzycki W. 29. Grujcic D. 2. Lelieveld J. 8. Carbo M. 12. Igbekeme J. 51. Kuziemka M. 41. Duda K. 7. Ertlthaler J. 9. Rodado A. (C)	96. Kuchta M. (C) 97. Janasik P. 3. Salihu H. 30. Cisse S. 20. Brasido D. 16. Poczobut B. 17. Dadok R. 26. Gnaase D. 8. Wojciechowski O. 7. Vega D. 9. Zjawinski L.
Substitutes
56. Baniowski F. 17. Bozic M. 1. Broda K. (G) 5. Colley J. 10. Duarte F. 52. Krzyzanowski J. 50. Kutwa M. 26. Lasicki I. 20. Omic E.	10. Bajdur M. 77. Buksa A. 18. Falbierski B. 14. Gorzedowski M. 5. Hoxhallari E. 44. Piotrowski B. 1. Sandach A. (G) 4. Szur P. 19. Vasin N.
Coaches
Jop M.	Pawlak M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Dadok R. ⚽,
15', Kuchta M. 🟨,
16', 1 - 1, Rodado A. (Pen),
33', Grujcic D. 🟨,
41', Cisse S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Janasik P. 🟨,
63', Kuziemka M. ↓, Duarte F. ↑,
71', Duda K. ↓, Bozic M. ↑,
72', Wojciechowski O. ↓, Vasin N. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Gnaase D. ⚽, Vasin N. (A),
82', Poczobut B. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,
87', Giger R. ↓, Krzyzanowski J. ↑,
87', Ertlthaler J. ↓, Omic E. ↑,
90+1', Dadok R. ↓, Szur P. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wisła won 2.

Wisła has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Polonia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Wisła may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Wisła has had a series of away games.

In this match, Wisła is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Wisła will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Wisła won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Wisła won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Kraków
Polish Division 1
02.11.25	Chrobry Głogów - Wisła Kraków	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
29.10.25	Hutnik - Wisła Kraków	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
26.10.25	Wisła Kraków - Stal Rzeszów	2:1 ✺
20.10.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Wisła Kraków	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
11.10.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Wisła Kraków	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWT
- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 1
31.10.25	Górnik Łęczna - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Polonia Warsaw - Polonia Bytom	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Chrobry Głogów - Polonia Warsaw	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Polonia Warsaw - Stal Rzeszów	2:3 ✺
26.09.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Polonia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
06.12.24	Polonia Warsaw - Wisła Kraków	2:0
Polish Cup
03.12.24	Polonia Warsaw - Wisła Kraków	3:2 ET
Polish Division 1
28.07.24	Wisła Kraków - Polonia Warsaw	0:0
17.12.23	Wisła Kraków - Polonia Warsaw	2:1
Polish Cup
07.11.23	Wisła Kraków - Polonia Warsaw	3:0
Polish Division 1
30.07.23	Polonia Warsaw - Wisła Kraków	2:3
Polish Ekstraklasa
09.03.13	Polonia Warsaw - Wisła Kraków	1:2

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