Match Info

Date: 30 September 2021, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Spartak Tuymazy		Amkar Perm

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Spartak Tuymazy
23.9%

Draw
26.1%

Amkar Perm
50%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.7%

25.1%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

20.4%

67.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Tuymazy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Amkar Perm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Amkar Perm might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Tuymazy than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spartak Tuymazy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amkar Perm than the current prediction. (+17.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amkar Perm could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 4).

Recent matches Spartak Tuymazy is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Amkar is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Amkar is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Tuymazy
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
26.09.21	Spartak Tuymazy - Chelyabinsk	2:2 ✺
17.09.21	Dynamo Barnaul - Spartak Tuymazy	3:0 ✺
14.09.21	Irtysh Omsk - Spartak Tuymazy	3:1 ✺
05.09.21	Spartak Tuymazy - Zvezda Perm	3:2 ✺
30.08.21	Orenburg-2 - Spartak Tuymazy	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TLLWW
- Amkar Perm
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
26.09.21	Zvezda Perm - Amkar Perm	1:3 ✺
16.09.21	Amkar Perm - Novosibirsk	1:0 ✺
05.09.21	Torpedo Miass - Amkar Perm	0:2 ✺
29.08.21	Zenit Izhevsk - Amkar Perm	0:1 ✺
21.08.21	Amkar Perm - Chelyabinsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWL

Spartak Tuymazy - Amkar Perm