Match Info

Date: 17 October 2020, Saturday


	Spartaks		Ventspils

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.5	2.15	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.4
				Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.32
	2.67	3.55	2.45
	2.75	3.25	2.35
	2.63	3.56	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.52)	3.46 ↓ (3.5)	2.34 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartaks
34.4%

Draw
26.5%

Ventspils
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

25.9%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

18.4%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartaks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Ventspils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartaks than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spartaks that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventspils than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ventspils could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Spartaks - Ventspils Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 6 and 4).

Spartaks is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ventspils is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Spartaks have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 33 head-to-head matches Spartaks won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 21 matches and goals 31-57.

Including matches at home between the teams Spartaks won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 17-28.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartaks Jurmala
Latvian Virsliga
03.10.20	Rīgas FS - Spartaks	2:1 ✺
27.09.20	Spartaks - Riga	1:2 ✺
Latvian Cup
23.09.20	Grobiņa - Spartaks	2:5 ET ✺
Latvian Virsliga
20.09.20	Metta - Spartaks	1:1 ✺
16.09.20	Liepāja - Spartaks	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWTL
- FK Ventspils
Latvian Virsliga
03.10.20	Ventspils - Valmiera	1:1 ✺
27.09.20	Ventspils - Tukums 2000	2:0 ✺
Latvian Cup
23.09.20	Lokomotiv Daugavpils - Ventspils	0:4 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
20.09.20	Rīgas FS - Ventspils	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.20	Ventspils - Rosenborg	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
08.08.20	Ventspils - Spartaks	1:1
29.06.20	Spartaks - Ventspils	1:3
31.08.19	Spartaks - Ventspils	0:1
25.06.19	Ventspils - Spartaks	2:2
04.05.19	Spartaks - Ventspils	4:3
10.03.19	Ventspils - Spartaks	2:1
20.10.18	Ventspils - Spartaks	1:1

Spartaks - Ventspils: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide