Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga North - Round 34

Date: 17 May 2024, Friday


	Spelle-Venhaus		Hamburger II

	1	X	2
	6.25	5	1.33
	6.5	5.5	1.35
	5.8	5.2	1.32
	6.34	5.3	1.39
	6.5	4.8	1.33
	6.42	5.27	1.36
	6.2	5.2	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.29 ↑ (5.73)	5.18 ↑ (4.5)	1.35 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spelle-Venhaus
14.5%

Draw
17.6%

Hamburger II
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

20.1%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

17.7%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spelle-Venhaus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Hamburger II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spelle-Venhaus than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger II than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hamburger II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Spelle Venhaus - Hamburger II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
13', 0 - 1, Sanne T. ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, Sanne T. ⚽,
34', 0 - 3, Sanne T. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 3, Popov A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
49', 1 - 4, Sanne T. ⚽,
50', 1 - 5, Rexhepi A. ⚽,
54', 1 - 6, Sanne T. ⚽,
82', 2 - 6, Elpermann J. H. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Spelle-Venhaus is Relegated to

Spelle-Venhaus has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hamburg II is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hamburg II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hamburg II is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Spelle-Venhaus won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Spelle-Venhaus
German Regionalliga North
11.05.24	Jeddeloh - Spelle-Venhaus	3:2 ✺
04.05.24	SC Weiche-08 - Spelle-Venhaus	1:0 ✺
26.04.24	Spelle-Venhaus - Hannover II	0:3 ✺
19.04.24	Meppen - Spelle-Venhaus	3:0 ✺
13.04.24	Spelle-Venhaus - Oldenburg	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLLLT
- Hamburger II
German Regionalliga North
12.05.24	Hamburger II - SC Weiche-08	0:1 ✺
08.05.24	Phönix Lübeck - Hamburger II	6:2 ✺
03.05.24	Meppen - Hamburger II	2:0 ✺
27.04.24	Hamburger II - TSV Havelse	3:2 ✺
24.04.24	Hamburger II - Oldenburg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
10.12.23	Hamburger II - Spelle-Venhaus	1:0

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