Match Info

Division 3 - Group 2 - Round 22

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Spjelkavik		Ranheim 2

	1	X	2
	3.20	4.20	1.75
	2.95	4.05	1.85
	3.25	4.15	1.71
	2.82	4.5	1.96	Watch
	3.15	4.05	1.67
	3.15	4.95	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (1.32)	4.32 ↓ (5.25)	1.81 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spjelkavik
29.2%

Draw
20.9%

Ranheim 2
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

16.9%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

14.6%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spjelkavik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-37.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spjelkavik's form might have worsened.

Ranheim 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+33.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ranheim 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spjelkavik than the current prediction. (+28.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spjelkavik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ranheim 2 than the current prediction. (-31.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ranheim 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Spjelkavik - Ranheim 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ranheim 2 will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Ranheim 2 (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ranheim 2 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
20', 1 - 0, Ottersen J. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Mogensen G. ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, Sylva M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
77', 1 - 3, Sylva M. ⚽,
88', 1 - 4, Sylva M. ⚽,
90', 2 - 4, Dybvik N. ⚽,
90+8', 2 - 5, Sylva M. ⚽,

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 8th and 11th).

In recent outings, Spjelkavik has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Ranheim 2 is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Bookmakers give the edge to Spjelkavik for this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Spjelkavik has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 16:8 (averaging 4:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Spjelkavik against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Spjelkavik	22	8	4	10	41:48	-7	28
10	Ranheim 2	22	7	5	10	58:71	-13	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spjelkavik IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
26.09.26	Melhus - Spjelkavik	0:1 ✺
21.09.26	Spjelkavik - Rosenborg II	0:4 ✺
14.09.26	Aalesunds 2 - Spjelkavik	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Nardo - Spjelkavik	4:2 ✺
31.08.26	Spjelkavik - Molde 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLLW
- Ranheim 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
26.09.26	Ranheim 2 - Volda	1:3 ✺
21.09.26	Nardo - Ranheim 2	4:1 ✺
13.09.26	Ranheim 2 - Byåsen	1:4 ✺
07.09.26	Kvik - Ranheim 2	0:7 ✺
31.08.26	Ranheim 2 - Orkla FK	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
18.04.26	Ranheim 2 - Spjelkavik	5:3
13.09.25	Ranheim 2 - Spjelkavik	1:4
05.07.25	Spjelkavik - Ranheim 2	2:2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
26.09.21	Ranheim 2 - Spjelkavik	0:7

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