Match Info

Division 3 - Group 2 - Round 21

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Spjelkavik		Trygg Lade

	1	X	2
	2.68	4.45	1.98
	2.66	4.54	1.91
	1.58	3.93	5.15	Watch
	2.72	4.15	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.98)	4.27 ↓ (4.7)	2.77 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spjelkavik
41.1%

Draw
23.2%

Trygg Lade
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

19.4%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

19%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spjelkavik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spjelkavik's performance.

Trygg Lade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Trygg Lade might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spjelkavik than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spjelkavik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trygg Lade than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trygg Lade could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Spjelkavik - Trygg Lade Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Trygg Lade (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Halvorsen K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 1 - 1, ⚽,
57', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 2, Halvorsen K. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Trygg Lade is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Spjelkavik won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spjelkavik IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
13.09.25	Ranheim 2 - Spjelkavik	1:4 ✺
06.09.25	Spjelkavik - Molde 2	6:1 ✺
30.08.25	Nardo - Spjelkavik	2:2 ✺
25.08.25	Spjelkavik - Aalesunds 2	4:1 ✺
17.08.25	Rosenborg II - Spjelkavik	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWTWL
- SK Trygg Lade
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
13.09.25	Trygg Lade - Byåsen	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Surnadal IL - Trygg Lade	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Rosenborg II - Trygg Lade	1:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
27.08.25	Trygg Lade - Levanger	1:3 ✺
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
23.08.25	Trygg Lade - Volda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
05.04.25	Trygg Lade - Spjelkavik	4:0

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